NRO has a great article about how the recent polls are show Party ID skewing towards Democrats. Long story short it shows that historically neither party has ever held more than a 4% Party ID advantage over the other, yet the most recent pollings show the Democrats with a minimum of 5% Party ID advantage or in other words more Democrats are being contacted than Republicans for these polls. Here are the numbers for the main polls and I am sure they wont surprise anyone.
USAToday/Gallup: 9 points.
* CBS/NYT: 5 points
* ABC/WP: 8 points
* CNN: did not provide sample party ID details.
* Newsweek: 11 points.
* AP/Ipsos: 8 points.
* Pew: 7 points.
* Time: 8 points.
If that isn't bias by the MSM to paint a gloom and doom picture for the Republicans I don't know what is. Just one more reason I do not trust in Polls.
If that poll had been from one of these pollsters, my answer to that one question would have falsely biased the poll to one party over the other.
Am I an anomoly answering polls today? Or should it be assumed that many Democrats allege to support Democrats while claiming to be Republicans, and vice-versa?
That's why the only poll that counts is the one measured with ballots. I don't trust any pollster hired by any media organization to be fair when their results will determine who hires them in the future.
Posted by: mjcostello on October 18, 2006 10:36 PMFor example, I've bashed the Democratic Party for years over their love of spending, only to have Bush et al blow away modern spending records ... now the credibilty of Republican Fiscal conservatives is 0. As a fiscal conservative I can't admit I'm a Republican.
It will be interesting to see if the Republican Party can survive 2 more years of Bush governance or if the wipe out in 2006 is going to be followed by a bigger wipe out in 2008.