October 24, 2006
McGavick Rally with John Thune--Important Lessons Learned

I attended the rally for Mike McGavick at Bellevue High School last night (10-23). It was well-attended. There were the usual small crowd of rabid lefties outside with opposition signs, but they did not enter the building.

I arrived some 15 minutes late, so I missed some of the speeches, but Dino Rossi stood on the platform with my Congressman, Dave Reichert. After McGavick spoke, Senator John Thune--the guy who beat out Tom Daschle--from South Dakota got up and spoke. His speech was interesting. Before he ever ran for U.S. Senate, he was a three-term congressman, and didn't run for a fourth term because he promised to limit himself to three terms. He then spoke about his first senate race and how he lost by 800-odd votes and didn't figure he'd run again.

But others wanted him to run again; so after getting the okay from his family, he decided to jump back into politics by running against Daschle. People kept saying during the race that beating Daschle "couldn't be done", etc. Interestingly, he said that he never led in the polls at all before election day. He said that what made the difference was that the republicans just did a better job of turning out the vote than Daschle's people. That was a real eye-opener for me. It tells me that anything you or I do to get word out to people is more than worth it.

You might help with making calls, or with mailing efforts. Or you might do what I typically do, which is dropping campaign literature on porches, or even stuffing newspaper tubes along the road as I do out here in my area, with various election info. Most campaigns have smallish pieces of literature that fit well into newspaper tubes. You can even just photocopy a good newspaper endorsement and use that to distribute. Believe me, this kind of thing helps.

Why? Well, back in the 80's, when I was a very uninformed voter living in N. Seattle, I got a brochure on my driveway from the John Miller congressional campaign. I'd never heard of him before, but I liked what I read. I never got anything from his opponent, so guess who I voted for in the election? Yep, Miller. He won, too. So you see, this stuff does make a difference.

Another thing i do is carry around a hammer in my car during campaign season. When I'm out and about and I see a republican sign that has fallen down, I park and go put the sign back up. These are small things, but they can help. My aunt (a staunch republican nowadays) told me that back when she was a know-nothing voter, she once voted for a guy because he had more signs than the other guy, so she figured he had more support. That was all she had to go on! See? The littlest things can help.

So learn from Thune's speech and do whatever you can to help get the vote out and know that it CAN swing an election.

Posted by MicheleDeRouis at October 24, 2006 10:44 PM | Email This
Comments
1. Your post is actually really inspiring. :)

I'm going to write a letter to the editor now.

Posted by: Aaron on October 25, 2006 02:44 AM
2. Yes, so long as your candidate isn't down double-digits two weeks before the general.

Posted by: Wayne on October 25, 2006 09:04 AM
3. So very true. Personnaly i never listen to polls, because as of late they tend to be wrong. Just look at 2004 and 2002. In 2004 the polls had all but declared Kerry the winner, yet President Bush won by a larger margin than he did in 2000. 2002 the polls showed the D's would take over the House and Senate by a small majority, perhaps a seat or two in both, but come election day the Republicans actually gained seats in both the House and Senate. Maybe the polls are right or maybe they are skewed, the only thing for certain is that the vote count is the only thing that matters after the polls (metaphorically speaking) close.

Posted by: TrueSoldier on October 25, 2006 01:20 PM
4. Actually, while the 2004 exit polls were slightly off in Kerry's favor, if you look at the published polls shortly before the election, they were actually pretty good. SurveyUSA has a graphic of its last 2004 polls for Senate and the actual results. Over the 15 races listed, SurveyUSA actually averaged about a 2% bias in favor of the GOP candidates over the Democrats. StrategicVision (in only 5 races listed) was a little worse. I know one of the themes pushed by conservatives has been that polls are biased toward democrats. However, I haven't seen anything other than anecdotal evidence, primarily based on those 2004 exit polls.

Posted by: wayne on October 25, 2006 04:27 PM
5. I'm glad you feel that way, Aaron. I felt inspired, too, after I heard Thune speak. And I had hoped to convey some of that to the readers with this blog post.

Posted by: Michele on October 25, 2006 07:54 PM
6. To the person who mentioned the polls. Look no further than the Georgia Senate race in '02. I don't know the exact numbers, but there was a 12-14 point difference between the polls taken the day before the election and the actual result.

Political professionals, who get paid to make sense out of polls (which are, by and large, worthless), were mystified by that race. What made the difference was the GOP's 72-hour task force, which was being tested in that race specifically. Now, that's what the party has been trying to implement everywhere. The only thing that limits its success is lack of manpower.

Posted by: Aaron on October 26, 2006 02:49 AM
7. John Thune, the guy whose main supporter during his campaign was Bruce Whalen, the American Indian Conservative Republican who's now running for Congress in a race where the local SD press is heaping attention on the Democratic incumbent and all but ignoring him.

Bruce is a friend of mine. You can read about him at http://www.brucewhalen.org/.

Please give him your support.

Posted by: Rod Van Mechelen on October 26, 2006 04:19 AM
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