If you work for the New York Times.
And a map with the article mislabeled, in some editions, the state in the upper left corner of the contiguous United States that is considered solidly Democratic. It is Washington, not Oregon. (Though the outcome of some races may be in doubt, one thing is for certain: Oregon will always be solidly under Washington.)
(To be precise the state was labeled "Ore.", not "Oregon".)
I blame Timothy Egan.
Cross posted at Jim Miller on Politics.
(Would I consider the state "solidly Democratic"? No. Republicans hold four of the nine House seats, and their top statewide vote getter, Attorney General Rob McKenna, has run ahead of Democrats like Governor Chris Gregoire in recent elections. For example, in 2008, a Democratic year, he was re-elected, 59-41, while she was re-elected, by a narrower margin, 53-47.
Washington state leans Democratic, but is not, in my opinion, solidly Democratic.)
Posted by Jim Miller at November 18, 2011 02:28 PM | Email ThisDoes understanding the context of the map, Battle for the Senate A New York Times analysis of the 33 Senate seats up for election in 2012 inform your opinion?
Do you really think a candidate nobody knows or has heard of will beat Maria Cantwell?
I don't.
And I don't think the other Republican office holders nor 2012 Republican candidates in Washington is going to change that one iota.
The number of people who even know a Republican running for Cantwell's seat is below 5%.
Jim, if you know a Republican candidate or candidates that might beat the Democratic Senator, it is funny you could not even give a GOP WA Senate candidate a plug here.
I think that the state of Washington is solidly Democratic in the 2012 Senate elections, and there's not a snowball's chance in hades a Republican wins Senator Cantwell's seat in 2012.
Posted by: MikeBoyScout on November 18, 2011 05:46 PMAs for Cantwell, we may as well start calling her Cantlose given the insignificant opponents that the GOP has been able to muster thus far. There's nothing I'd like better than to bring her home from DC, but if I had to put money on it I'd be betting on her winning term #3.
Posted by: Kato on November 19, 2011 09:31 AMWhat's the name of a Republican candidate for Cantwell's US Senate seat in 2012?
Posted by: MikeBoyScout on November 19, 2011 11:53 AMIt may surprise you, but Rob McKenna will not vote for Rob McKenna for the US Senate in 2012. If he won't, why would anyone else?
Posted by: MikeBoyScout on November 19, 2011 12:30 PMObviously, a senator from the minority party would make much less difference, but which would you prefer -- a senator that is more senior than 2/3rds of the chamber and is a member of the majority party, or a freshman senator that would be pretty much at the bottom of the barrel?
And given that McKenna is looking at the governor's mansion and Dino Rossi is unlikely to want to add to his losing streak, where precisely will the Republicans dig up a candidate?
Posted by: demo kid on November 19, 2011 08:23 PMThere's a good chance the GOP will have the majority in the Senate after next year, so reelecting Cant-do-well would not such a big deal. Stick a fork in Rossi...
Posted by: KDS on November 21, 2011 09:02 PM