October 30, 2009
Election Predictions?

Make them here.  Any election next Tuesday, anywhere in the United States, is fair game.

(I'll give you my predictions, just before I close the post.)

Posted by Jim Miller at October 30, 2009 07:10 AM | Email This
Comments
1. Init #1033 = Yes, Ref-71 = Approve, KC Exec = Hutchison, KC Assessor = Albertini, Sea Mayor = Mallahan :)

Posted by: Duffman on October 30, 2009 07:21 AM
2. This isn't how I voted, but 1033-no R71 yes Mallahan, Constantine.

SnoColibrary- no; Wilson as SnoCo judge

Somers, Koster winners.

Corzine and McDonnell with Hoffman in NY23.

Posted by: swatter on October 30, 2009 07:32 AM
3. 1033: No
Ref-71: Approved
Executive: Constantine
Mayor: Mallahan
City Council: Bagshaw, O'Brien

Virginia Governor: R
New Jersey Governor: D
NY-23: The independent candidate

Posted by: John Jensen on October 30, 2009 09:30 AM
4.
First, the obvious ones: Dow wins easily, something like 55-45, and 1033 loses 60-40.

R-71 is tougher, but the yes vote will win 53-47.

Mallahan wins 52-48.

You can bet the house on the above.

Posted by: This is Easy on October 30, 2009 09:34 AM
5. Hutchison, mallahan, yes r-71, no 1033, bill owens wins in New York, McDonnel in Virginia, Corzine in New Jersey.

Posted by: mpruitt on October 30, 2009 10:18 AM
6. Hutchison, mallahan, yes r-71, no 1033, bill owens wins in New York, McDonnel in Virginia, Corzine in New Jersey.

Posted by: mpruitt on October 30, 2009 10:18 AM
7. HHhmmm...do we still trust those who count the ballots?

Posted by: Diogenes on October 30, 2009 10:19 AM
8. King Exec: Constantine (would love to be wrong)
Sea Mayor: Mallahan
R-71: YES
I-1033: NO
Tac Mayor: Merritt
Pierce Auditor: Shabro (GO JAN!)
Pierce Props 1,2,3: YES
State House 9th LD: Fagan
State House 16th LD: Nealey

Virginia: McDonnell
New Jersey: Christie
NY-23: Hoffman

Posted by: Zag4Life on October 30, 2009 11:28 AM
9. I predict we end up with more politicians that expand government. Some will be from the red team and others from the blue team.

Posted by: Lysander on October 30, 2009 11:48 AM
10. I predict we end up with more politicians that expand government. Some will be from the red team and others from the blue team.

Posted by: Lysander on October 30, 2009 11:49 AM
11. Hutchison
VA Gov: R
NJ Gov: R (a real shocker)
NY 23rd Dist House: Ind
I-1033: Yes
R-71: No

Posted by: Saltherring on October 30, 2009 12:52 PM
12. VA Gov: McDonnell (R) 57%, Deeds (D) 43%
NJ Gov: Christie (R) 44%, Corzine (D) 42%
NY 23: Hoffman (C) 42%, Owens (D) 40%, Scozzafava (R) 18%
CA 10: Garamendi (D) 49%, Harmer (R) 42%, Others (Green, P&F, AIP) 9%
L Dist 16, Nealey (R) 53%, Grant (D) 47%
King Co Exec Hutchison 54%, Constantine 46%

I'm from Clark County, WA. I don't live in any of these areas, but have followed all of the races.

Posted by: besquared on October 30, 2009 01:16 PM
13. - King County Exec: Constantine
- I-1033: No
- R-71: Yes
- VA Gov: McDonnell
- NJ Gov: Christie (believe it)
- NY-23: Hoffman squeaks it out

So, I'm predicting a bad day for WA Repubs, but a good day for Repubs everywhere else.

Posted by: Nick J on October 30, 2009 01:19 PM
14. Oh yeah, and Mallahan wins too.

Considering how scary McGinn would be as mayor, I'd say that's a small win for Repubs.

Posted by: Nick J on October 30, 2009 01:22 PM
15. Constantine
Mallahan
No on 1033
Yes on 71
Conlin
Licata
O'Brien
Bagshaw

NJ-Corzine
VA-McDonnell
CA10-D
NY23-D

Posted by: TrulyScrumptious on October 30, 2009 02:57 PM
16. KC Exec - Hutchison (narrow win, but not close enuf for a recount - too bad for ACORN)
I-1033 - No (narrowly)
R-71 - Yes
Seattle Mayor - Mallahan
Tacoma Mayor - Merritt
VA Gov - McDonnell
NJ Gov - Christie (narrowly)
NY Rep - Hoffman

Posted by: KDS on October 30, 2009 06:08 PM
17. Hutchison for KC executive

YES on 71

NO on 1033

Reagan Dunn in ninth district

Suzette Cooke for Mayor of Kent

David Doud for Port (the other guy is an ACORN guy)

Republicans in VA and NJ

the CONSERVATIVE in NY - he is NOT an independent - in New York there is a Conservative Party

Posted by: Chris Briggs on October 30, 2009 08:29 PM
18. Now that the R has withdrawn in New York, I am revising my prediction there to:

Hoffman (Cons) 46%
Owens (D-WF) 42%
Scozzafava (R-NY Ind) 12%

Posted by: besquared on October 31, 2009 10:40 AM
19. A big negatori for both!!!

Posted by: SKrose on October 31, 2009 02:58 PM
20. A big negatori for both!!!

Posted by: SKrose on October 31, 2009 02:59 PM
21. Seattle, Port, and some KC:
Mallahan by 7
Conlin by 17
Bagshaw by 15
Nick by 18
Rosencrantz by 2.
Holmes by 11
Holland by 16
Max by 18
Hutch by 4

Posted by: SeattleBum on October 31, 2009 04:28 PM
22. Hutchinson in a squeaker
Mallahan in a landslide

1033 - No (No support, even amongst most R's)
R-71 - No (Upset of the night, this issue is unique in the fact that it is a generational issue, not a partisan one. Most of us under 40 will vote yes regardless of party affiliation; most people 50+ will vote no, again, regardless of party. Furthermore, no poll has this thing over 50% and since a lot of people lie to pollsters about this issue, it spells trouble at the secret ballot box)
Maine will vote down there gay marriage law too.

NJ - Corzine

NY - Hoffman - good news, but I hope it doesn't start a trend of 3rd party candidates. Most of the time it backfires.

Posted by: jk on October 31, 2009 05:30 PM
23. 1033: definitely rejected
Ref-71: definitely passing
KC exec: D(ow)
mayor: mcginn

VA Gov: R (so sad)
NJ Gov: D (squeakin by)
NY-23: D (squeakin by)

Posted by: mike on October 31, 2009 05:56 PM
24. Mallahan and Constantine.

1033 loses, R71 rejected.

Pat Hailey in the 9th LD, Laura Grant to lose in the 16th LD. That's a big one, because then the only Democratic legislators east of the mountains will be in Spokane.

R win in Virginia, D in New Jersey, Conservative in New York.

Posted by: Ryan on November 1, 2009 08:18 AM
25. Yeh - what #11 said!

The mayor's race - who cares, both awful

Posted by: ajday on November 1, 2009 05:10 PM
26. 1033 - yes
R-71 - Reject

Seattle:
Exec - Hutchison Wins - 53-47
Mayor - Mallahan - 58

Spokane -
Prop 4 (Comm. Bill of Rights) - Looses 65-35
CD-1 - Mike Fagan wins 53-47
CD-2 - Michael Allen wins 50.5 - 49.5
CD-3 - Nancy McLaughlin wins 71 - 29

Spokane Valley
Brenda Grassel - Wins 62 - 38
Munson - Wins 51 - 49
Grafos - Wins 65 - 35

Posted by: Fig Newton on November 2, 2009 11:55 AM
27. An amendment in my original prediction:

NJ Gov - Christie (narrowly - recount required). Corzine wins in contested recount (the ACORN effect)

Hope I am wrong on this, but 180,000 provisional ballots smells of voter fraud.

Posted by: KDS on November 2, 2009 12:58 PM
28. Holland and Albro for Port. I agree with Seattle Times. Doud is a real estate guy and Max is a longshore. Strage but Holland sounds more conservative with tax dollars. He talked at a 30 district Republicans. I like the guy. The ACORN stuff is a joke. All the candidates were invited for County office and most went. I was at the Republican Picnic and so was David. He was invited too.

Posted by: Jeff Douglas on November 2, 2009 02:35 PM
29. Holland and Albro for Port. I agree with Seattle Times. Doud is a real estate guy and Max is a longshore. Strage but Holland sounds more conservative with tax dollars. He talked at a 30 district Republicans. I like the guy. The ACORN stuff is a joke. All the candidates were invited for County office and most went. I was at the Republican Picnic and so was David. He was invited too.

Posted by: Jeff Douglas on November 2, 2009 02:36 PM
30. P 1033 - yes 54%. People are in a no tax kind of mood.

R 71 - No 52% Polls run about the same as they did for the California marriage amendment, and look what happened there (people lie on the poll).

VA Gov - McDonnell 56% Deeds 44%

NJ Gov - Christie 47% Corzine 43% Daggett 10%

NY 23 - Hoffman 50%, Owens 42%, Scozzafava 8%

Posted by: Kevin Jackson on November 2, 2009 04:46 PM
31. Here is the link for Seattle Mayor tonight.

http://your.kingcounty.gov/elections/200911/Respage23.aspx

Posted by: Steve on November 3, 2009 01:25 PM
32. wow, friggin hilarious. some of you are really horrible at making predictions.

Posted by: mike on November 4, 2009 08:40 AM
33. What a hoot!! Thanks for the laughs.

Posted by: worf on November 4, 2009 09:45 AM
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