April 08, 2009
Fear the Budget Crisis in Olympia

Thanks to Sound Politics ever alert readers, I learned something new and more than a little disconcerting. All these years including my time in the Legislature, I was comforted by the knowledge that Washington State had a constitutional provision requiring a balanced budget. But Stu in response to my last SP posting "Budget Crisis in Olympia" called that belief "an urban myth." After researching the state constitution and using God's gift to mankind, Google, to uncover a Seattle Times editorial on the subject, I find he is right! Worse, the Democrats have tumbled to this reality too. California, here we come, whistling through the valley of the shadow of debt.


Posted by warrenpeterson at April 08, 2009 08:49 PM | Email This
Comments
1. Good news and bad news then. Sucks that Olympia can tax and spend us, our children and grandchildren to oblivion, but if it means leaving my kids in classrooms of 20-25 kids instead of 30-35 kids, then I'd be happy.

I just wish I believed, though, that Democrats cared as much about educating our kids as they do about buying votes with low-priority spending that they're too selfish to cut.

Posted by: Reailty on April 8, 2009 09:48 PM
2. Doesn't California have a REPUBLICAN governor? I think Arnold Schwarzenegger was the governor who started the deficit financing thing in California, if I am not mistaken. Even if he did not pioneer it, he certainly has run by far the largest deficits in California history.

And didn't George W. Bush run deficits of several hundred billion dollars during each year that he was in office? Of course, Barack Obama is now running bigger deficits than that. But even without Obama's spending increases, the deficit for this fiscal year would be well over a trillion dollars, just based on what was passed while Bush was still in office.

So deficits aren't solely a Democratic weakness. Republicans are just as capable of spending government, whether state or federal, into massive debt.

Posted by: Richard Pope on April 8, 2009 09:57 PM
3. ok- Pope- you've got us.

The supposed grown up administration spent away...so therefore its ok and no one has to be accountable for a balanced budget ever. Anywhere. Period.

Sucks to be our grandkids.

Posted by: Andy on April 8, 2009 11:26 PM
4. I read that Times column back in December. I haven't heard about it since, and all the politicians seem to be "saying" they are working on a balanced budget, so I just assumed that the Times was thinking out loud, without proper research.

Has anyone heard anything definitive on deficit financing for this budget cycle? Or is this also some thinking out loud?

Posted by: deadwood on April 8, 2009 11:44 PM
5. No debt. The whole legislature needs to start listening to Dave Ramsey talk about debt. Then start following his advice. It applies as much to states as it does families. Truly.

Posted by: Michele on April 9, 2009 12:07 AM
6. Hey Pope, Who was Gray Davis and why isn't he still Governor of California? What's that? He was a deficit spender before Arnold and got recalled? How much was the California State deficit when he got recalled Richard, 23 Billion? What party was he in? Oh yea the Democratic Party...say Richard isn't that the Party you pretend to be a memeber of? I guess that makes you a deficit loving, budget busting Democrat wannabe.

Posted by: Huh? on April 9, 2009 01:29 AM
7. The amazing thing about following California off the cliff is that we should be learning from their mistakes, rather than blindly follow in their footsteps.

I'd compare it being a clairvoyant knowing you're going to die in a plane crash the next day and instead of choosing not to fly, end up showing up at the airport with your luggage in tow the next day anyway. As the saying goes, "Stupid is as stupid does".

...and Washington state, citizens and elected officials alike, are indeed Stuck on Stupid!

Posted by: Rick D. on April 9, 2009 05:29 AM
8. Huh? You sure got that right.

Pope, California may have a Republican governor, but guess which party controls the rest of the state? You know, the party that proposes all the spending. With over a 60% majority, it wouldn't matter if God was the governor.

Posted by: Pete on April 9, 2009 05:31 AM
9. Newsflash: We already have billions in debt in this state...a grossly underfunded state pension system. For years the Dimocrat majority has spent like drunken sailors (no offense to the US Navy) while allowing the unfunded portion of the pension obligation to grow and grow.

Posted by: Saltherring on April 9, 2009 06:21 AM
10. Saltherring--
Good of you to remind folks that we already have a massive debt in the form of an Underfunded Pension Liability.

I am still amazed there has been zero press on this Underfunded Liability. It's borrowing. The State Pension Investment Board lost $15.6 BILLION in 15 months, Joe Dear (Executive Director) quit and ran to California...and NO ONE has been held accountable. Heck, the Public doesn't even really know what has happened and the implications.
Our comfort is that Governor Gregoire assured us the Marke goes Up and Down.
How shallow.

Where is the info?
Where is the accountability?

PS--
Lots of Union Bosses are part of the State Investment Board.

Need to shine the light on this.
What good are Sunshine Laws...when the Press closes their eyes??

I was told this Pension thing is "not a priority" because the current Budget is more pressing.
WTF!???
Sweep a massive future liability under the rug...and worry about short-term issues only?

Where are the Republican leaders on this?

Posted by: Mr. Cynical on April 9, 2009 07:46 AM
11. #10 Is this across the board, all PERS plans?

Posted by: Sheffield on April 9, 2009 08:07 AM
12. I resemble anyone that calls Arnie a Republican. There are constant reports he is likely to switch his party affiliation. He already acts like a Democrat.

I am really surprised Barry hasn't offered him a cabinet positions yet.

Sorry for being off-topic but the mention of Arnie in the same breath as Republicans sets me off.

Deficit spending? I am waiting for the inflation and then I plan on selling assets and going to retire in nice, quiet low tax areas.

Posted by: swatter on April 9, 2009 08:27 AM
13. The losses are pretty much spread across the board.
Did you know the State Investment Board (with lots of Union Board Members) also invests L&I Trust Funds??

It's unbelievable the pass they have been given.
They took credit during the good times and have disappeared now when accountability is due.

Posted by: Mr. Cynical on April 9, 2009 09:00 AM
14. Michele,

You are quite right about Dave Ramsey's view. Debt is wrong; borrowers are slaves to those they are in debt to.

The sick thing is that when the government is in debt, we are all in debt. Hence, we need to reform the politicians. Tea Party anyone?

Don't forget about Dave Ramsey's live and online Town Hall Meeting of Hope (this is real hope) taking place on April 23rd at 5PM PST. A local church or other organization will be showing it in your area. Spread the word, and spread the Word.

Posted by: Easycure on April 9, 2009 09:45 AM
15. Swatter... Arnold is as much rep as NYC mayor.

Zero. Used the name only to get elected.

Posted by: Medic/Vet on April 9, 2009 10:04 AM
16. Mr Cynical @ 13, referencing the state's unfunded pension liability remarks, "They took credit during the good times and have disappeared now when accountability is due."

Yes, and what is remarkable is during the "good times" the debt to the pension system was allowed to grow while spending on social programs increased to unsustainable levels. What is the matter with the people of this state? Why do we continue to elect such losers?

Posted by: Saltherring on April 9, 2009 10:23 AM
17. Imagine what the mess would look like if the state could print money. Yikes!

Posted by: danno425 on April 9, 2009 10:37 AM
18. Here is a great table identifying state by state budget numbers.

States' Freefall

Notice the projected shortfall for Washington State of $2.8 billion. Not $9 billion as the legislature, governor and local media would like you to accept. The reality is that the $3.8B in cuts proposed by the Legislature to their original 22.5% increase in spending (EFF) still means a pretty significant INCREASE in state spending over the last biennium.

Related Story
More States Look to Raise Taxes

Posted by: Reality on April 9, 2009 12:14 PM
19. Hey, you would have known about this if only you were a regular reader of my blog! ;o) I covered this back in December. As a native Washingtonian, it came as a horrible shock to me as well.

http://itsonlywords55.wordpress.com/2008/12/08/mythbusters-olympia-edition/

And can someone please tell me...how do I get links to work in these comments?

Posted by: Paula on April 9, 2009 12:51 PM
20. One of the Democrats' ideas to avoid reducing the operating budget's growth is to use funds ordinarily earmarked for capital projects, then ask the voters to approve bonds to replace those funds.

The state can borrow to cover operating expenditures, if it has room under its debt limit; but there isn't much room right now.

Article VIII allows borrowing above the debt limit if approved by the voters to pay for specific things, like building schools, renovating or remodeling them, etc.

"SECTION 3 SPECIAL INDEBTEDNESS, HOW AUTHORIZED. Except the debt specified in sections one and two of this article, no debts shall hereafter be contracted by, or on behalf of this state, unless such debt shall be authorized by law for some single work or object to be distinctly specified therein. No such law shall take effect until it shall, at a general election, or a special election called for that purpose, have been submitted to the people and have received a majority of all the votes cast for and against it at such election. [AMENDMENT 60, part, 1971 House Joint Resolution No. 52, part, p 1836. Approved November, 1972.]"

If this scheme is implemented, the state would exceed its normal debt limit to continue spending more than we can afford--assuming "we" approve the scheme by voting "yes" come November.

Posted by: Micajah on April 9, 2009 01:01 PM
21. Then maybe you knew this already too.

Based on the data provided by the Wall Street Journal referenced above, the top 10 states (including DC) with the largest per-capita budget gaps are... yes you guessed it... all governed by Democrat legislatures. Connecticut is number one with a $1,142 per citizen gap, followed by DC, New Jersey, California, New York, Delaware, Minnesota, Hawaii, Massachusetts, and Wisconsin with $462 per-capita gap.

Only 2 in the top 20 states with the largest per-capita shortfalls are Republican states, Arizona and Kansas.

Washington falls at #14, but only because the shortfall is based on shortfall relative to 2009 budgets with no growth. Of course, here in Washington the Dems have proposed a massive spending increase as their baseline, creating the perception that courageous spending cuts are not the massive spending increases that they really are.

Disclaimer: 12 states are left out of the conclusion since Projected 2010 Budget Gaps were N/A.

Posted by: Reality on April 9, 2009 01:06 PM
22. All the old-folks homes (nursing homes) want is the same cash as last year. They are getting huge cuts. Go figure.

Posted by: swatter on April 9, 2009 01:17 PM
23. #19 Paula, You may find this link helpful

Posted by: PIFan on April 9, 2009 02:46 PM
24. Mr. Cynical @ 10, 13, etc

Didn't the Republicans control one or both houses of the state legislature, when the state decided to make drastic cuts in the level of funding for state employee pensions?

Sure, the legislature is pretty solidly Democratic these days. But I believe that legislative power was far more balanced, when the state decided to cut the amount appropriated to the pension fund each year.

And I bet, if we look at the legislative bills which reduced the state contributions to employee pensions, we will find a virtually unanimous vote in both the state house and state senate to approve the legislation. With almost no Republicans (and almost no Democrats) voting against the bill.

Do the Republicans have any solution to this problem? The state would have to cut spending on other programs, raise taxes, or borrow money to deal with the pension underfunding problem. Or simply put the matter off, so long as the pension fund actually has money in it.

Somehow I don't think so.

Posted by: Richard Pope on April 9, 2009 02:52 PM
25. No Proposals?????

A proposal for Dope-a-Pope:

Run the state budget like YOUR home budget.

This concept seems to be beyond too many politicos
in Olympia.

Of course this won't work if Pope's home budget is as FUBAR as the state's. **Notice I'm not holding my breath.**

Posted by: Sam Adams on April 9, 2009 03:40 PM
26. PIFan, thanks!

Posted by: Paula on April 9, 2009 04:09 PM
27. It's a simple concept to spend within your means and one wonders why lawmakers can't seem to grasp it. Perhaps this should be required viewing; I think it dumbs it down to a level where they can all understand it.

Don't Buy Stuff You Cannot Afford

Posted by: Paula on April 9, 2009 04:23 PM
28. Here's a good laugh and another proud moment for Washington.

If you take the government's $9 billion deficit for real, and compare that to California's $42 billion shortfall, which gave California the perceived distinction as the most out-of-control state government in the country, but then divide the numbers by state populations, what do you think you see?

Yup, Washington's per-capita gap is $1,374 per citizen, compared to California's $1,142.

California, stand aside for the reigning champions of out-of-control state spending growth.

Posted by: Reality on April 9, 2009 05:13 PM
29. Off-topic warning..

Looks like Paula figured out how to embed a link from PIFan's link that shows probably cryptic stuff for many people (sorry, PIFan, this is not a knock on you.)

So, for many people who are challenged by HTML syntax, here is how to embed a link:

Replace http://www.soundpolitics.com below with your web link address.

<a href="http://www.soundpolitics.com/" target="_blank">Sound Politics Link</a>

and italicized words Sound Politics Link should be replaced with the title of the link you are adding.

Note that I added target="_blank" so that the click on the link would launch a new window rather than navigating to the link in the current comment window.

Posted by: DoppioLover on April 9, 2009 05:25 PM
30. a href="http://www.soundpolitics.com/" target="http://www.soundpolitics.com"

Posted by: testing on April 10, 2009 08:17 AM
31. hey, Testing, you need < and > to enclose your text.

Posted by: DoppioLover on April 10, 2009 09:00 AM
32. Pope still to lazy to do his own research on when the shorting of the Pension plans began. You will know that the the first year that the Pension Plan was shorted the Democrats controlled the Governors Mansion and the House. State actuaries warned against the practice and a "recovery" plan for making up the shortfalls was installed via higher "contributions" ( see taxes) that was supposed to equalize the funds by 2024. Then the downturn hit, you know the one that the Governor said wasn't coming. Now we have unfunded Pension liablilities with over 50% of the State workforce eligible for Pension benefits within the next 10 years. The fecal material is going to hit the fan and the Governor and the Democratic Legislature are not addressing the issue.

Posted by: Huh? on April 10, 2009 09:46 AM
33. "Do the Republicans have any solution to this problem? The state would have to cut spending on other programs, raise taxes, or borrow money to deal with the pension underfunding problem. Or simply put the matter off, so long as the pension fund actually has money in it.

Somehow I don't think so.

Posted by Richard Pope at April 9, 2009 02:52 PM"

Richard--
A DEMOCRAT Governor signed every Budget the past 24 years.
The first thing that needs is a complete vetting of the problem and the LOSSES generated by the State Investment Board.
There are plenty of Hedge Fund losses Richard.
Plenty of Red Flags.

They were targeting an 8% positive return in the face of a recession. Ridiculous.

I would look to see if there is any corruption and any opportunity to sue the Board members personally for their actions.

I would hold the Governor responsible too.

She should resign.

Yet this debacle has gotten close to ZERO press.

Don't you find that outrageous Richard??

Posted by: Mr. Cynical on April 10, 2009 08:55 PM
34. What is a balanced budget? I thought that those had gone the way of the passenger pigeon! :)

Posted by: Mike Rowan on April 14, 2009 12:04 PM
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