November 04, 2008
Meta Story Tonight in Advance of Governor's Race Results

The tilt in key states such as OH, PA, and VA (regardless of whether or not it has been called yet) augers a significant, but not overwhelming Democratic advantage nationally.

The truly exceptionally nature of our Governor's race makes for a political environment that should not be construed as being the same as that elsewhere. Nonetheless, Rossi is dependent on a lot of Obama-Rossi voters. That and a uniquely motivated GOP base and GOTV operation, are the keys to a potential Rossi victory.

And any victory, or even a very close ultimate finish, will have been in spite of running against a very challenging national picture, which includes a national ticket that was fatally wounded by late September.

Posted by Eric Earling at November 04, 2008 06:41 PM | Email This
Comments
1. I guess it is hard to overcome an overwhelming tsunami of negative media coverage. I suppose this means the media now thinks it controls the country, and they may be right. With the lack of independent thought from supposedly "independent" voters it's looking like all the media has to do is sway about 30% of the population and their job is done.
So where do we go from here. One hope for us in WA is Dino. Maybe we can get back to real conservatism. Nationally I have my doubts that another Reagan is out there to take the Republican Party back. Maybe if Dino wins and becomes a national GOP star, has some good results and gets Washington straightened out, he could be a national political figure some day.
Does anyone else see a conservative GOP "leader" anywhere in the country?

Posted by: scott on November 4, 2008 07:25 PM
2. Yes; major downer:
ALL the networks PLUS the AP have now called BOTH OH and PA for Obama; with an estimated result margin for Obama of 8 and 15, respectively (more than twice the pollster.com trend in each case).

Even if McCain-Palin were to run the table and win EVERY ONE of the 11 states still in the ''Too Close 2 call'' category:
WA, OR, CA, and HI have a total of 77 EVs.
200 EVs have now been called by all the networks plus the AP for Obama; and only the AP has not called NM for him. Give Obama NM and he has 205 EVs (he'll probably take the 2 MA Cong. Districts too, but forget them for now).
Add 77 and Obama has 282. Sooo...:

UNLESS one of the bigger states that everybody has called for Obama turns out to be a massive mistake by all those callers; AND McCain-Palin run the table on ALL the ''too close'' states:
It's over at the Presidential level.
Which means:

The outcome of the race 4 Gov in WA is even MORE important; i.e.:
It is hard to overestimate how critical it will be to have Governor Rossi as a firebreak against the looming and pervasive Federal lurch to the left. If the (D)s were to take everything at both the State and Federal level...... well, among other things it may be time to read again Edward Gibbon's classic 6-volume 18th-century work ''The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire''.

FOOTNOTE on above comment by Scott; on prospective GOP national leaders:
How about Gov. Bobby Jindal of LA ??

Posted by: Methow Ken on November 4, 2008 07:39 PM
3. Congressman Pence from Indiana could be a rising star-the gov. from Minnesota and don't count out Sarah Palin.

Posted by: alcat on November 4, 2008 07:49 PM
4. Scott, why do you presume that any other voter has less information than you do?

Perhaps they have more.

Posted by: BA on November 4, 2008 07:56 PM
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