August 24, 2008
Cornfield on Primary Results

Herald political reporter Jerry Cornfield weighs in on some interesting primary results, including Mike Hope's run against Liz Loomis in the 44th LD:

Republican Mike Hope of Lake Stevens can't be faulted for feeling the third time will be charming in his pursuit of a legislative seat in the 44th District. He's a mail tray of votes behind appointed incumbent Rep. Liz Loomis, D-Snohomish, far closer than he ever came during his failed runs for state office in 2004 and 2006.
Note that back in January, Cornfield said of Hope's view of his chances, "I think the shelf life of his tea leaves expired long ago." You were saying, Jerry?

Yes, it's only the primary, but Mike Hope is only down by a point and a quarter (and with ballots left to count, and Hope gaining every day, he might end up with the lead when the counting's done), against an incumbent Democrat in a Democratic district, where the other Democrat in her district -- Hans Dunshee -- has seven more percentage points than she does. The Democrats have every reason to fear losing this seat, which was vacated by John Lovick when he was elected Snohomish County Sheriff.

Cornfield also says that Val Stevens' haul of 59 percent of the vote for 39th LD Senator "may prompt the state Democratic Party to start snipping its financial umbilical cord to [Fred] Walser." Maybe, but since the Democrats have given him over $25,000 -- most of it after his criminal conviction in June -- it's not clear that anything could ever happen that would convince them to not give Walser their money (and, like Sheriff Lovick, their endorsement).

Cornfield also correctly notes that in November's race for school superintendent between Dorn and Bergeson, "look for ballots marked with 'none of the above.'"

And in the funniest-stat-I-hadn't-seen category, he offers, "[Rob] McKenna even won in Pierce County, where [John] Ladenburg is the county executive." Yeah, I'd say that counts as a bad sign for Ladenberg this November.

Cross-posted on <pudge/*>.

Posted by pudge at August 24, 2008 05:47 PM | Email This
Comments
1. Nice post.

Loomis did many controversial things as mayor of Snohomish. FYI, the mayor in Snohomish is appointed by the council and the city itself is a strong manager-weak mayor type of town.

I hope Hope can key in on those judgement lapses by Loomis.

Posted by: swatter on August 25, 2008 08:14 AM
2. I sure hope so. Mike Hope is a good guy and Liz Loomis is an embarrassment for more reasons then one. Those who are in the know will get my drift.

Posted by: Cliff on August 25, 2008 09:23 AM
3. There is a good reason Ladenburg is loosing in Pierce County. We have already experienced his rule.

Posted by: Vince on August 25, 2008 01:09 PM
4. Having dealt with Liz Loomis many times - Sometimes it seems like I'm writing my legislators a couple times a week - I definitely appreciate her prompt personal responses and discussion.

I could do much worse in terms of representation. However -- I have to note that if Mike Hope were my representative, I could probably rely on him to vote no for the stupid laws that I write her about without having to write him.

Posted by: Andrew Brown on August 26, 2008 08:28 AM
5. I don't know Liz Loomis and have nothing against her personally.

As with you, I just dislike what she actually does in the legislature.

Posted by: pudge on August 26, 2008 08:48 AM
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