August 20, 2008
Primary Notes: Reichert v. Burner

It may presage very little for November, but Darcy Burner finishing second in her primary is not the optics her campaign was looking for...especially after she talked up the primary's importance on YouTube.

Those optics are helped even less by the fact that Dave Reichert wasn't on TV while she was running 60 second ads prior to Tuesday, or that her campaign's mail was extensive - including an "Oprah-like" twelve-page magazine sent to potential female voters.

Ultimately, however, the primary doesn't change the basic construct of the race. Burner is taking on the tough task of winning a rematch against an established opponent after losing the first time - in perhaps the best of all Democratic years. Yet, recent demographic and partisan shifts in the district give Burner serious hope, while at the same time the combined expenditures of her campaign and the DCCC will significantly outspend Reichert and the NRCC (whether the former combo is more effective than the latter might be a separate issue).

This has all the makings of a very tough race for Reichert.

Footnote: I remain somewhat bemused that Burner's major campaign theme still appears to be the Iraq War. Let's stipulate the obvious: she won the anti-war vote in 2006, especially in the affluent liberal havens of the district near Lake Washington. Where she lost decisively was in less well-off neighborhoods, farther from moneyed Bellevue, where economic issues and gas prices dominate current voter concerns.

As of now her campaign is doing very little publicly to reach that decisive demographic, which already has proven its comfort level with the Sheriff.

Peculiar.

Posted by Eric Earling at August 20, 2008 08:02 PM | Email This
Comments
1. Finish the sentence. Burner is taking on the only Congressman that has ever been stupid enough to admit he votes against his party WHEN THEY LET HIM.

Poor Dave. He is too stupid to understand, you are not supposed to admit THEY COUNT THE VOTES....

God, for the sake of our country, I hope Darcy wins.

We have had ignorant ego maniacs running our country long enough.

Posted by: All Facts Support My Positions on August 20, 2008 09:38 PM
2. Hey AFSMP, we get it. Stupid is your favorite word. Please start bringing more to the table. At least when Cato goes on a leftwing rant, it can be interesting becasue we get to see a little of what goes on in the liberal mind. But with you we just shake our heads and move on.

Posted by: Moondoggie on August 20, 2008 09:56 PM
3. Amen Moondoggy.

It's rare to see anyone say so much but say nothing of any substance. (But I guess that might change when the dem convention starts in Denver.)

Posted by: johnny on August 20, 2008 10:14 PM
4. All Lies,

It appears that telling the truth is not part of the Slavery Party's beliefs? Better to lie and cheat and maintain party unity like all you good Slavers, right?

Posted by: Shanghai Dan on August 20, 2008 10:48 PM
5. Reichert has picked up the support of Jim Vaughn today. Vaughn is encouraging the people that voted for him in the primary to support Reichert in the general election. That's gotta be a zing to Burner since she's been touting that votes for Vaughn were a vote against Reichert and proved the the voters of the 8th CD wanted a change in leadership.

Factless, in a few short months you'll likely find that MarcyDarcy will be joining Dave Ross at Heidi Behrens-Benedict's weekly quilting circle of "also rans". From the current results of the primary, Burner and Reichert practically tied in King County. The place where Reichert mopped up was in Pierce County. Burner's "message" doesn't carry there like it does in Kirkland and Bellevue. She didn't understand this in 2006 and apparently still doesn't understand it today.

I wonder if the women of Pierce County were lucky enough to receive Darcy's 12-page "Oprah like" magazine, or was that sent only to the Bellevue Square bunch?

Posted by: Smoley on August 20, 2008 10:49 PM
6. So, all that fiction.... when Burnout gets her ass kicked THIS time as well, will that finally be the end of her? Well you leftist clowns FINALLY get someone besides an empty suit like her to run?

Or is your Nobama-like nonsense now endemic in the party of the morons?

Posted by: Hinton on August 21, 2008 12:42 AM
7. er, Mr. Hinton, Burner is the face of the D party. Throughout the country, the D party is made of empty suits.

I dropped the D party after Scoop died. There are no good Ds out there anymore. At least the ones in office. In real life, there are many, many good ones but they don't run for office. They leave that to the system that allowed AmesLaker/Flaker to be the party's nomination.

Posted by: swatter on August 21, 2008 07:24 AM
8. Swatter, I was a delegate for Scoop Jackson to the Democratic National Convention in 1976, but after Scoop died the Democratic party left me. In the late 60s and early 70s the left wing took over the party in this state. They hated Scoop when he was alive.

Posted by: Moondoggie on August 21, 2008 08:18 AM
9. I have to imagine that there have been significant changes as to what is allowed to be built around a fish bearing body of water like Ames Lake since Burner's home was first built and the subsequent multiple remodels. I wonder if DOE and DNR are making sure that all of the current codes and setbacks are being enforced? Maybe she should just donate her lot to be an open space in rural East King County and lead by example for the rest of us. Afterall she supported the CAO that her buddies Ron Sims and King County Council put in place.

Posted by: Huh? on August 21, 2008 08:56 AM
10. Ahh, moondoggie, you are my kinda Washingtonian. As a staunch Republican and pretty darned conservative one at that, I will state catagorically that if Scoop Jackson rose from the grave I would vote for him for about anything. Even in 1972 as a Republican in the military, I contributed my first money to a presidential campaign (actually to any campaign) and it was to Scoop. I would have voted for Scoop over Nixon. Alas I did not have that choice. I betcha that today Scoop would not be a Democrat, nor would the D's even acknowledge his promilitary, fiscal conservatism as their own. Warren G., on the other hand, was a bit too pickled to perform pleasingly and since his untimely passing we have been stuck with his Chief of Staff (though, truth be told, Norm was not a bad football player.)

Posted by: Deryl McCarty on August 21, 2008 09:09 AM
11. DM, you get an AAAAAAAAMEN for that one.

Posted by: Hinton on August 21, 2008 09:27 AM
12. The simple math:

Reichert - 41,876
Burner - 39,124
Difference - 2752

The other 2 Democrats got 4374 votes. So in a general election Darcy wins.

Posted by: Crusader on August 21, 2008 11:31 AM
13. The simple math:

2006 Primary results

Reichert - 52598
Burner - 54776
Difference? +2178 for Burner

Remind me again what happened in the General.

Posted by: jimg on August 21, 2008 12:07 PM
14. Crusader@12,

The math isn't that simple. Jim Vaughn (the dem that got 3151 of those 4374 votes you are giving to Burner) has thrown his support to Dave Reichert (more here) and has encouraged the people that voted for him to do the same.


Posted by: Smoley on August 21, 2008 02:11 PM
15. Crusader Rabbit.... politics is a complicated game. Come back when you've figured out how to play.

Posted by: Hinton on August 21, 2008 07:48 PM
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