SurveyUSA's latest in the Governor's race has Christine Gregoire up over Dino Rossi by a narrow 50% - 48% margin. Perhaps Stuart Elway can now tell us that Gregoire is up by 20?
Note that pollster.com's trend lines for the race show a 50% - 47% spread favoring Gregoire, even including Elway's offerings in the mix. And the trend lines, at least for now, show the race is closing.
I doubt that means much for the primary - where despite the many variables it would be safe to assume a continued Democratic tilt to results. And one could argue that in the big picture the race really hasn't moved much, if at all, from the early part of the year.
But it does mean that as of now we have a barnburner.
Posted by Eric Earling at August 14, 2008 09:52 PM | Email ThisIt will indeed be interesting to see the final vote tally for Gov in the Primary next Tuesday.
Posted by: Methow Ken on August 14, 2008 10:40 PMPolls are polls. The Elway poll may or may not have been an outlier, but the poll may have also suggested a 6 point spread after the margin of error was taken into account. What has been consistent in these polls is that Gregoire leads by two or three points, and statistically, over many polls, that is significant, especially since we last left off this cast of candidates at a far narrower gap.
Posted by: Daniel K on August 14, 2008 11:37 PMYes, she has a 2-3 point lead...relatively unchanged from the early part of this year. That's obvious as the data shows and the links I provided affirm. I never said otherwise.
What I will do, however, is continue to make fun of any poll that shows Gregoire sweeping Eastern Washington as Elway's did. That's simply not defendable (and he didn't even mention it in his humorous memo explaining his poll).
Even if your a hardened Darwinist who sees that as a good thing (gangsters getting shot), having bullets flying around isn't.
Posted by: John Bailo on August 15, 2008 10:42 AM"POPE, Richard
Republican
Campaign Address:
People for Richard Pope
PO Box 65016
Shoreline, WA 98155
Telephone: 206.365.3463
E-mail: RPope98155@aol.com
Internet: www.pope2000.org
It's time for a change!
Richard Pope will restore professionalism, integrity and competence to the Attorney General's Office.
Richard Pope will investigate and prosecute corruption and mismanagement in state government, rather than whitewashing and covering up. Scandals such as Linda David, OK Boys Ranch, Wenatchee and DSHS abuses are absolutely intolerable!
Preventable lawsuits have cost Washington taxpayers tens of millions because of bad legal advice and botched representation. Gregoire couldn't even timely appeal the record $17.8 million judgment against the State!
Gregoire hired expensive private lawyers for over $93 million - since her office couldn't do the job. Most disgracefully, Gregoire accepted tens of thousands in campaign contributions from these same hired lawyers!
Richard Pope will redirect funding to improve hiring, training and retention of qualified attorneys. Richard believes the State should employ competent lawyers, rather than having to rely upon expensive outside help."
There are lots & lots of other things you said
AGAINST GREGOIRE!!!
What has changed that you are now pulling for her??
Seems like you are the ultimate headcase and political opportunist now masquerading as a Progressive...
You have lost 10 elections.
You even sued Gregoire.
Are you taking your Meds Pope??
"PRINCETON, NJ -- If the election were held today, registered voters would be equally likely to vote for John McCain (44%) or Barack Obama (44%), according to the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update."
http://www.gallup.com/poll/109564/Gallup-Daily-McCain-Obama-Tied-44.aspx
Looks like 2008 is a Republican year after all...
Posted by: John Bailo on August 15, 2008 09:16 PMpfffft..... give a credible source, and the I will decide for myself !
Posted by: Chris on August 16, 2008 02:18 PM