I'm curious to hear what readers think, given that the public VP talk on the Republican side and generally boiled down recently to Bobby Jindal, Tim Pawlenty, Rob Portman, and Mitt Romney.
Since first raising the topic (here and here) I continue to think Jindal, Pawlenty, and Romney remain the best options.
Romney has the highest critical mass of recent buzz, indicated for example by his #1 ranking on the Fix's VP line and by news coverage of the healing of the McCain-Romney rift. In many respects he's already doing the job of the VP nominee: regularly speaking to gatherings of the party faithful, fundraising like mad, and delivering shivs into the side of the opposition with a smile via copious media appearances.
That said, while Romney has much upside, it's hard to ignore the potential downside too. While he fits the bill of what McCain needs in a VP pick exceptionally well, he still provokes a visceral reaction from a vocal minority of the GOP activist base (even as his selection would sooth many movement conservatives). Moreover, one could see an obvious line of attack from Democrats probing into his venture capitalist past that might not sit will with the economically populist mentality that dominates many swing voters.
Portman is an intriguing option as a former Congressman in Ohio, former U.S. Trade Representative, and former Director of the Office of Management & Budget (OMB) - which is the government agency that actually runs DC more than most people realize. He fits almost every criteria McCain could want in a VP, except his pronounced ties to the Bush administration are an ugly and distracting series of attacks waiting to happen.
There is notably less recent buzz about Jindal and Pawlenty, though there inherent strengths remain obvious. Pawlenty seems like the ultimate safe choice if he gets through vetting. A blue state governor with working class roots. Adequately embrace by both conservatives and moderates. And he bears the reformer label to match McCain's campaign theme and persona. On the downside, his ability to put Minnesota in play electorally is in doubt and he hardly seems a choice that will excite any particular component of McCain's uninspired, conservative base. In the end, Pawlenty may be the best combination of "first, do no harm" combined with the other needs McCain has in a ticketmate.
Jindal remains a member of a national ticket, at some point, either now or in the future. His resume and record are beyond impressive, but his tenure as Governor is very short and the lingering concern about his age gap with McCain magnifying rather than mollifying that issue with the public should not be ignored.
Of note, it seems also clear that South Dakota Senator John Thune and Alaska Governor Sarah Palin seemed destined for a national ticket in the future too. For now, however, Thune lacks the managerial/executive experience McCain needs, while Palin's family considerations and Jindal-like short tenure as Governor necessitate a little more time on the national sidelines.
On the Democratic side, Obama seems destined for the ultimate do no harm pick. He doesn't need to excite anybody. He simply needs someone competent, who won't harm the ticket, and with luck soothes the bruised feelings of some Clinton backers. Indiana Senator Evan Bayh or Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius seem the most logical choices in that category. Joe Biden is an interesting dark horse too, though his famous running mouth would seemingly preclude him from VP consideration. He seems a giant gaffe waiting to happen; the last thing one needs from the ticket's junior partner.
Your thoughts, o loyal reader?
UPDATE: I see Chuck Todd is very high on the "do no harm" rule.
Posted by Eric Earling at July 20, 2008 03:30 PM | Email ThisBoy are you off target. Palin is not only more than ready, willing and able right now, aside from being more than qualified, experienced and accomplished (I'd say 10 times more than Obama), all GOP roads are, in fact, now leading to Palin as the real front-runner for McCain. She brings more to the table (Hillary voters, oil/energy issue, etc.) than anyone else -- and just let the Dems try to attack her; they can't!
Posted by: Ted on July 20, 2008 03:59 PMI'd saying asking someone with five younger kids, including a newborn with Down's Syndrome, to be on a national ticket seems neither fair nor prudent.
Posted by: Eric Earling on July 20, 2008 04:15 PMBottom line, w/Romney as McCain's Veep pick, odds of losing the election are MUCH higher. With Palin, McCain CAN'T lose!!! Think about it.
Posted by: Ted on July 20, 2008 04:16 PMSeriously... the only thing worse than Republican choices for president are the potential picks for the VP!
Posted by: demo kid on July 20, 2008 04:52 PMIn my opinion, Jindal is by far the best choice. But he is not a good choice for right now.
I think he's also a great choice, and I think he's good for right now. He actually has more experience under his belt than Obama. And has more success - by far - than Obama can even attempt to claim.
Posted by: Shanghai Dan on July 20, 2008 07:33 PM to see all the attack ads that Romney put out against McCain, You can also see the video of Romney calling McCain dishonest. Romney would be a big mistake. I would rather have t boon pickin then romney. lol. Least he has a plan.
http://www.tboonepickin.com
I suggest you go look at the attack ads Romney put out against mccain at the above site. Before you make up your mind about Romney being a great VP.
Kasich won the balanced budget battle vs the Clintonistas in the 90's. He polished his foreign affairs IQ while at Fox and is very nimble on all domestic issues. Plus, he brings Blue Dogs to the ticket (ala Reagan). Time to get Kasich warmed up in the bull pen to bring him in as the closer.
http://www.spectator.org/dsp_article.asp?art_id=13564
MITT MATCH While Mitt Romney's set of paid PR minions are busy pushing out Mitt for Vice President spin, McCain campaign insiders say that while it's true they have polled Romney on the bottom of the ticket, the data confirms that such a move would be a political disaster for the party.Posted by: Ragnar Danneskjold on July 21, 2008 07:49 AM"Mitt tanks the ticket," says a McCain insider. "We lose fiscal conservatives. We lose social conservatives. We lose Catholics. We lose evangelicals. All the groups were spending time and money on bringing into the camp would be lost. He just doesn't help us enough to do something like this, as much as Mitt might think we should. He doesn't even win us Massachusetts."
I like Romney, but I just don't see what he adds to the ticket. Sure, he brings economic cred and a smooth campaigning style, but he didn't exactly light the trail on fire in the primary. He's better as a McCain surrogate, with the promise of a cabinet position. The best thing to recommend him is that the GOP wouldn't have to lose a popular governor.
Posted by: Zeeb on July 21, 2008 11:16 AM(World rights reserved)
Posted by: sronly on July 21, 2008 11:54 AMPros for Romney
- Economy, Economy, Economy
- Plan Romney in Michigan, Ohio, and other mid-west states and hammer on the economy and nothing else by stressing jobs, and energy. Michigan is ripe for a GOP pickup and Romney should be able to deliver it
McCain-Palin 08
Posted by: Carlos Echevarria on July 26, 2008 10:34 AM