June 19, 2008
Why Gregoire Pushed Back

Christine Gregoire's aggressive response to radio ads critical of her record, as discussed below on the main page, was for a reason: changing the subject.

Behold the Seattle Times' recitation of the Democratic talking points refuting two such ads, on the topics of sex offenders and foster care.

Note that the Gregoire campaign has not pushed back anywhere near as aggressively on the other two radio spots in the same ad campaign related to transportation and taxes. One has to suspect because those are two topics her campaign would rather not bring to the forefront given that precious few voters would say either issue has improved much at the state level in the last four years.

To give credit where credit is due, Gregoire's staff has pulled out some credible factoids in a valiant attempt to defend her on the specific issues of sex offenders and foster care. And of course trotting out law enforcement endorsements helps mitigate the issue some too.

Even with all that, however, the aggregate record that Gregoire has to defend on public safety has some startling, gaping holes. Simply follow this series of headlines from 2007:

February 27, Seattle Times: 83 felons freed as state uses too much jail space
March 1, Seattle P-I: State routinely gambles on release of felons - Offenders completing 70% of supervision cut loose
March 1, Seattle Times: Gregoire: No more felons to be freed early
March 14, Seattle Times: State DOC resumes early felon releases

The details of those stories do not paint a pleasant picture, while the contrast between the 3rd and 4th headline is jarring.

Meanwhile, the Gregoire campaign's talking points fail to point out - as does today's Times article - just how many of the 1,300 plus untraceable sex offenders mentioned in the radio ads in question are now under proper supervision by the State. If the crackdown discussed late last year was so successful, wouldn't the Gregoire campaign have a lot of motivation to talk about that fact?

The Gregoire campaign's effort here is fundamentally about changing the subject. They don't want to talk about the issues at hand, so they revert to contrived outrage about independent expenditures - even as allies on their own side are readying such spending in spades, with many an unkind thing to say about Dino Rossi.

Gregoire's team knows the media will cover it because the BIAW is a black name in many journalistic circles, thus sure to land their push back efforts puff piece coverage. The campaign is further left safe in the knowledge that huge expenditures by assorted labor unions, environmental groups, and the like later this campaign season are less prone to receive attempted refutation on the front page of the local section of a Seattle daily.

Whether that works or not in the end remains to be seen, Dino Rossi had this to say as part of his remarks to the BIAW annual membership meeting today:

We have seen in the last week disturbing stories about the incumbent. It appears that if an interest group pays hundreds of thousands of dollars toward her party and her re-election she will support their agenda. She may even give away valuable benefits from the state treasury to benefit that special group.

I need you to understand that as Governor I won't. Nobody is going to have this kind of influence in my administration. Nobody - including the business community. My decisions will be based on the best interests of all of the citizens.

I greatly appreciate people across this state who are supporting my campaign. But what they will buy with their support is a fair hearing from a governor who wants good businesses to be successful here. It is the same fair hearing I will give to everyone. Campaign support will not buy anything more.

Every group I speak in front of asks me about bringing home the bacon. And I tell each and every one of them that my role as governor is not to pick winners and losers, but create a climate where everyone has the opportunity to succeed.

That is the makings of a contrast that the incumbent will be hard pressed to minimize after events of the past week.

Exit question: the KING 5 puff piece linked above calls the BIAW "Olympia's most powerful special-interest lobbying group." Could someone explain how a business group, aligned with conservative points of view and vilified by the left-of-center MSM, is so supposedly powerful in a state government completely dominated by Democrats?

UPDATE: link fixed.

Posted by Eric Earling at June 19, 2008 08:21 PM | Email This
Comments
1. Excellent 'exit question.' Why is it that the BIAW spending on political ads is protrayed as a looming threat to democracy? Remember all the eds, op-eds, letters, etc. regarding spending on state Supreme Ct. races? But the spending to defeat Eyman inits is just an accepted part of the landscape, rarely even mentioned. I-695, for example was outspent 10-1 (but still passed).

As for the 'exit question,' my guess is that somebody at King 5 is angling for a state gig similar to what Mak got with the city.

Posted by: russell garrard on June 19, 2008 08:45 PM
2. Let's see...: I wonder how many ''investigative'' pieces King 5 has done on political activities by SEIU ??... They should be required to file an ''in-kind contribution'' report with the PDC; or at least display sponsor information along the lines of ''this message paid for by Seattle broadcast media for Gregoire''.

Posted by: Methow Ken on June 19, 2008 08:48 PM
3. Let's see. The so-called untraceable sex offenders are NOT people under supervision of the Department of Corrections. They are people who have completed their sentences and are generally free to do whatever they are legally and practically able to do with their lives, so long as they register with the local sheriff. Usually, they have to stay registered for the rest of their lives.

THIS IS NOT GREGOIRE'S PROBLEM!

Instead, the county sheriffs (most of whom are Republicans, including the King County Sheriff) are responsible to make sure these folks are registered and kept track of. If the convicted sex offender fails to satisfy the registration requirement, then it is the county prosecutors (most of whom are Republicans, including the King County Prosecutor) who are responsible for prosecuting them.

King County, by far, has the highest number of homeless and non-verified address (i.e. folks failing to stay properly registered) of any county in the state of Washington. Seems to me that the REPUBLICANS are more properly blamed for this.

Too bad Bill Sherman didn't do research on this unregistered sex offender issue last year, and rip Dan Satterberg a new one over the incredible laxity by the King County Prosecutor's office in staying on top of these matters. Maybe things will be different next time that office is up in 2010. And we can thank the BIAW for raising awareness of this issue.

Posted by: Richard Pope on June 19, 2008 08:49 PM
4. I noticed your text above of Rossi's speech was a new addition to his stump speech. could it be that his staff wrote it in the parking lot of the skamania lodge when they saw all the cameras at the event hosted by the special interest that was spending money on ads this week for Rossi who accidentally left the appearance off his calendar?

Posted by: jim on June 19, 2008 09:01 PM
5. Did DINO ROSSI ever VOTE FOR the Special Sexual Offender Sentencing Alternative law that is so strongly condemned in the BIAW radio ad?

Posted by: Richard Pope on June 19, 2008 09:06 PM
6. That's right Richard, those evil Republicans are to blame. I guess that's why Ron Sims wants to cut 100 Sheriff's Deputies to make up for part of his budget shortfall. Ron thinks everything is fine and he is adequately staffed..which party was Ron with? Democrats wasn't it?

Remember one very important thing Richard, just because you are paranoid it doesn't mean they aren't out to get you.

Posted by: Huh? on June 19, 2008 09:06 PM
7. the KING 5 puff piece linked above calls the BIAW "Olympia's most powerful special-interest lobbying group."

KING 5 knows better than to print that lie. Union slavemasters, the rascist gambling racket, and the religious environmental wackos are way more powerful and influentual than the builders are.

Posted by: AP on June 19, 2008 09:15 PM
8. The Special Sexual Offender Sentencing Alternative (SSOSA) law -- which provides treatment and a relatively short jail sentence for certain sex offenders -- was originally enacted as part of the Sentencing Reform Act of 1981. It originally had an RCW section number of RCW 9.94A.120.

Just who was responsible for this coddling and wrist-slapping of convicted sex offenders?

REPUBLICANS!

In 1981, we had a REPUBLICAN state house and REPUBLICAN state senate that passed this legislation. And a REPUBLICAN governor -- John Spellman -- who signed it into law.

The 1981-82 legislative session was the last time that REPUBLICANS controlled both the governor's office and both houses of the state legislature. Democrats regained control of both houses of the legislature in the November 1982 election, and Spellman was booted out of office in the November 1984 election.

No REPUBLICAN has been elected governor since. So I guess electing Rossi (even though he is technically running with the "G.O.P. Party" this year) will result in even more lenient treatment of sex offenders, than is currently the case?

Also, during the golden years of the last REPUBLICAN governor Spellman, there were absolutely no laws on the books requiring convicted sex offenders to register.

Posted by: Richard Pope on June 19, 2008 09:16 PM
9. So, now Richard Pope is traveling in his wayback machine to 1981 to justify why Christine Gregoire is releasing dangerous sex offenders onto the streets of Washington State in the year 2008?

Please, tell me he isn't that stupid.

Posted by: Rick D. on June 19, 2008 09:29 PM
10. Mr Richard Pope is kind of a pain in the a--, isn't he. Reflects poorly on judges or judge wannabes.

Posted by: Dick on June 19, 2008 09:34 PM
11. I will travel in the "Wayback Machine" to February 12, 2000, when Dino Rossi VOTED IN FAVOR of coddling sex offenders and slapping their wrists after short jail sentences -- THE SAME LEGISLATION CONDEMNED IN THE RECENT BIAW RADIO ADS:

http://flooractivityext.leg.wa.gov/rollcall.aspx?id=24834

The current Special Sexual Offender Sentencing Alternative (SSOSA) law is RCW 9.94A.670. This law was enacted in 2000 by Laws 2000, Chapter 28, Section 20, which orginated as Senate Bill 6223.

This law was passed by a nearly unanimous legislature: 97 to 0 in the House, and 44 (including Rossi) to 1 in the Senate. The ONLY legislator to vote against the SSOSA law was Senator Pam Roach.

So I think it is pretty hypocritical of the BIAW to criticize Governor Gregoire for lenient sentencing of sex offenders. Rossi SUPPORTED the SSOSA law for lenient sentencing. Moreover, Gregoire has absolutely nothing to do with the prosecution and sentencing of sex offenders in the first place.

Posted by: Richard Pope on June 19, 2008 09:43 PM
12. All you need to know about Richard Pope you can find here in a Seattle Times news article. The question you have to ask yourself is whether you trust a man that perspires when he speaks.

Posted by: Rick D. on June 19, 2008 09:46 PM
13. For all you die-hard REPUBLICANS who are disgusted with the lenient sentencing of convicted sex offenders, I have a modest proposal.

Obviously, Dino Rossi is just as bad as Christine Gregoire -- if not far worse -- since Rossi was responsible for the law allowing sex offenders to be released after a brief jail sentence and a slap on the wrist.

Moreover, Rossi is NOT EVEN A REPUBLICAN this year. Instead, Rossi claims affiliation with a never previously heard of "G.O.P. Party".

You need to instead vote for a REAL REPUBLICAN, and someone who HAS NEVER VOTED FOR LENIENT TREATMENT OF CONVICTED SEX OFFENDERS.

Fortunately this year, there are two candidates running for Governor under the "REPUBLICAN PARTY" -- John W. Aiken, Jr. and Javier O. Lopez. I don't know much about them, but I can GUARANTEE that neither Aiken nor Lopez has ever voted to provide lenient sentences to convicted sex offenders.

If neither Aiken nor Lopez make it to the general election -- WRITE IN PAM ROACH for Governor in November. Roach still claims affiliation with the "REPUBLICAN PARTY" -- and she was the only REPUBLICAN in the entire state legislature to VOTE AGAINST lenient sentences for convicted sex offenders.

Posted by: Richard Pope on June 19, 2008 09:53 PM
14. Hey speaking of lenient on Sex Offenders who was that AG during the OK Boys Ranch fiasco. Christine something.

Try as you might to be accepted by the Dem's they don't want you either Richard. You are without consensual party affiliation. People would rather lose elections without you than win with you as a candidate ( not that you could ever win as a candidate, what is it 0 for 12?) or a supporter.

Posted by: Huh? on June 19, 2008 10:09 PM
15. Moreover, Rossi is NOT EVEN A REPUBLICAN this year. Instead, Rossi claims affiliation with a never previously heard of "G.O.P. Party".

Funny, I've heard "G.O.P." used interchangeably with "Republican" all my life. I just look on wikipedia... the Republicans have also gone by G.O.P. since at least the 1870's.

Yeah, no one has ever heard of the G.O.P. before. Nice try. Given how many times you've switched parties (and still always lost, I might add), you are the last person who ought to be criticizing Rossi for registering under the alternative name "G.O.P." and not "Republican". Nice try with your weaselly lawyer tactics, but all they've accomplished is making you look like... well... a weasel.

Posted by: Mike H on June 19, 2008 10:22 PM
16. Huh @ 14

Republican Ken Eikenberry was state Attorney General most of the time that sexual abuse was taking place at the O.K. Boys Ranch. This happened between December 1987 and September 1994. One of Eikenberry's assistant Attorney Generals even served on the Board of Directors of the O.K. Boys Ranch!

When Christine Gregoire became Attorney General in January 1993, she started investigating the O.K. Boys Ranch and forced it to shut down. Many people (including myself) severely criticized Gregoire for not acting fast enough in investigating and shutting down the Boy's Ranch.

However, Eikenberry was the real culprit. He did absolutely nothing about the O.K. Boys Ranch from December 1987 and the remainder of his tenure as AG, which expired in December 1992.

The Washington State Patrol completed an investigation of the child sex abuse at the O.K. Boys Ranch on February 5, 1996. However, the Thurston County Prosecuting Attorney -- Bernadeen Broadus, who happened to be a Republican -- did not bring criminal charges against very many people.

If you want to find out more about the O.K. Boys Ranch, here is a link to someone who has written a lot about it:

http://www.lbloom.net/okbr.html

Posted by: Richard Pope on June 19, 2008 10:25 PM
17. Nice try Richard, Gregoire screwed it up and you know it. It's a pattern in her career with the State particularly as a manager, Over staff - Under perform.

Posted by: Huh? on June 19, 2008 10:34 PM
18. The most powerful interest group in Oly is the teachers union and public employee union, from where I sit. I see the BIAW as being somewhere in the background trying to get any attention they can, but not being anywhere near in the mix as all the democrat special interests.

Gregoire must be trying to divert from the tribes scandal. In any event, her complaints about BIAW ads fall on deaf ears, in light of her WEA lackeys doing all they can to dirty up Dino before election season gets into high gear.

It won't work. Dino will be a far more ethical Governor than Gregoire could ever dream of being. She has to go. Sooner would be better than later. Especially in light of the fact that she doesn't care if the tribes don't pony any of their take, while the rest of the businesses in the state can't operate except by paying ransom--I mean the B&O tax--to the state in order to stay open. And we don't even have a skeezy business like gambling. Yet WE'RE the ones who she wants paying, not tribal gambling (like THAT'S a nice business?? Take people's money and send them home broke. How nice....)
She just doesn't get it....

Posted by: Michele on June 19, 2008 10:46 PM
19. The tribal thing will definitely be a big issue. Probably so much so that the "below the belt" attacks related to sex offenders won't matter as much -- even if Gregoire takes the effort to actually refute them.

Two things that I find amazing regarding the tribal gambling issue.

First, Gregoire claims she entered into the gambling pack in early 2007 -- in order to STOP the EXPANSION of gambling. However, both David Goldstein, Stefan Sharkansky, and leading Republicans criticized Gregoire at the time for allowing gambling to expand by far too much when this pact was first being proposed.

Second, the state of Washington apparently gets no revenue from the gambling pact. Most other states get something like 15% of gambling revenues -- which leaves our state perhaps $140 million a year short. But back in early 2007, no one criticized Gregoire for kissing away all this potential revenue -- not Stefan, not Republican leaders, no one at all.

Posted by: Richard Pope on June 20, 2008 12:02 AM
20. Eric you forgot this article on your links above:

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2003637595_doc27m.html

It has Gregoire's policy on early release violations in it:

Under the new policies, community-corrections officers will have specific punishment guidelines for offenders who have violated the terms of their prison release. Those might include an apology letter, a book report and increased support-group meetings for low-risk offenders.

Medium-risk offenders might be told to enroll in anger-management courses and counseling. Punishment for high-risk offenders could include drug treatment, mental-health evaluations and incarceration.


Those book reports are some pretty stiff penalties.

/sarc

Posted by: TrueSoldier on June 20, 2008 04:59 AM
21. "Obviously, Dino Rossi is just as bad as Christine Gregoire -- if not far worse" ~ R.P.

worse than Christine Gregoire's record Richard? I don't think even you believe that is true. Governor Quagmire has an established record of miserable failures on all fronts. From DSHS, DOC, Education, Transportation,etc,etc, but she's a multi-tasker as she also managed(?- or mismanaged depending on how you view these things) to take a 2B dollar surplus and piss it away into a 2.5B dollar deficit during her reign. It's time for a change.


Good thing she didn't take that 140 million annually from the tribes , since we clearly couldn't use it, right?

Posted by: Rick D. on June 20, 2008 05:57 AM
22. WOW, what did you people do to piss off Richard. I really think he's mad!
Still stupid as always, but mad that's for sure.
LOL

Posted by: Army Medic/Vet on June 20, 2008 06:17 AM
23. "...Rossi is NOT EVEN A REPUBLICAN this year. Instead, Rossi claims affiliation with a never previously heard of 'G.O.P. Party'."~ Richard P0-9E

Really, Richard? You've been around a long time on this earth judging by your picture [@12](which by the way looks oddly like you ran from the finish line at the boston marathon straight to the photography studio) and you've never heard the words 'Grand Ole Party' uttered prior to Dino Rossi's August ballot?

Rossi says he "prefers G.O.P party", but you realize the two are interchangeable (despite the redundancy). Besides, can you blame him from running from the "R" brand this election cycle? I certainly can't.

Posted by: Rick D. on June 20, 2008 07:10 AM
24. I know a thing or two about the BIAW. It isn't necessarily the most powerful but the issues it takes on are "real" issues that affect "real" people as they go through life. They represent us little guys who have to pay the piper as taxes.

They jumped to the forefront on the bogus listing of salmon on the Endangered Species List. The funniest thing of that listing is it is the only endangered species that people are still allowed to catch, kill and eat. Think about it.

They also jumped in on some of the "newer" and stupid L&I regulations (yes, stupid and L&I are synonymous).

They intervened when Boeing wanted special treatment for their unemployment contributions and excluded the rest of us who were also paying too much. Boeing, instead of working for the common good, like the BIAW, decided to lone soldier it.

Need I go on and on?

Posted by: swatter on June 20, 2008 07:36 AM
25. It's going to be a long season of Gregoire changing the subject.

It's hard to hide your nakedness in a forest that has no trees or a term as Governor that has almost no positive results.

Watch her tours to many other countries curtail while her 2004 healing tour around the state resumes.

Posted by: Andy on June 20, 2008 08:13 AM
26. Hay, Chissy has an acoomplishment:

Personal-income growth in Washington lagged much of the nation in the first quarter of 2008, according to data released Thursday by the federal Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Total personal income -- total income received by all persons from all sources -- rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 0.78 percent, the bureau reported. That was down from 1.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2007 and ranked 38th in the nation.

Total U.S. personal income rose 1.1 percent in the first quarter.

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/businesstechnology/2008007819_bizbriefs20.html

Posted by: pbj on June 20, 2008 02:34 PM
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