April 16, 2008
8th CD Fundraising is Troublesome - UPDATE

Let's be honest here. Darcy Burner's fundraising thus far this year is robust, and strong enough that she's likely moving herself up on the list of challengers the DCCC (Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee) is going to focus on supporting this cycle.

Meanwhile, Dave Reichert's fundraising is comparatively modest - raising about $240,000 $331,000 from January 1st to March 31st compared to her $500,000+. She now leads him in cash-on-hand with about $920,000 to his almost $700,00.

Yes, money isn't everything in politics, not by any means. Reichert has established an obviously strong rapport with his constituents based on his service as Sheriff and Congressman. Yet, he has never been known as a fierce campaigner or a prodigious personal fundraiser. Given the loss of the GOP majority and the massive number of Republican seats up for grabs due to retirement, his campaign is much less likely to receive the direct and indirect national financial support of election cycles past.

It's true the top of the Republican ticket looks exceptionally strong for Washington state. It's also true that Congressional race re-matches tend to favor the winner of the first contest. And, if ever there was a year for a Democratic candidate to sweep out a Republican incumbent in a lean-Democratic district, it was...2006.

All that said, Reichert's race has to be taken very, very seriously.

UPDATE: The cash-on-hand numbers in the original post were correct. Reichert's total raised during the quarter was not. Seems I fell for the same trick that snared David Postman.

Funny thing, when an FEC report has a "Summary Page of Receipts and Disbursements," one would expect the summary would, you know, list the total amount of receipts.

It doesn't. That's in the "Detailed Summary" section. Let us applaud the government bureaucrat that devised such a brilliant formulation. He/she has reminded me of something my survey of world religions said in college:

"The problem with stereotypes is that they are usually true."

Posted by Eric Earling at April 16, 2008 07:12 AM | Email This
1. 'Reichert has established an obviously strong rapport with his constituents based on his service as Sheriff and Congressman.'

WHAT! IMO Reichert has been a 'vanilla-flavored rep' at BEST!
Burner will lite a flame under this 'empty suit' next time around, the likes of which you have never seen. Hope the movie does well Dave. :)

Posted by: Duffman on April 16, 2008 07:23 AM
2. What ever happened to qualified candidates? First, there was Burner with her honorary president of the local homeowners' association and then there was Obama with his ...... You fill in the blanks because I can't.

And don't discount George Soros aka moveon from adding to the coffers, too.

Posted by: swatter on April 16, 2008 07:25 AM
3. "And, if ever there was a year for a Democratic candidate to sweep out a Republican incumbent in a lean-Democratic district, it was...2006."

Eric, that may have been true - up until this year. With Obama at the top of the ticket, expect 2008 to be a much bigger wave than 2008.

Posted by: Daniel K on April 16, 2008 07:41 AM
4. What me worry?? Dave still has great hair - is photogenic - will have all the money he needs(even if he does vote with McDermott more than Doc Hastings). He will win in a walkover. The Dems are killing each other to the point that McCain might win. I wouldn't have given him a 10% chance until recently and he will carry the ticket on down. Dino will walk in! NO PROBLEM

Posted by: Rocketdog on April 16, 2008 07:50 AM
5. I just wanted to pause to laugh at the fact that a Burner supporter is complaining that Reichert is an empty suit.

The irony of such a statement is so rich it's painful.

Posted by: Cliff on April 16, 2008 08:24 AM
6. Can the 8th District be bought by do nothing Darcy? Her only qualification to office appears to be that she can hold her hand out to be covered in out of district cash from the DNC.

Posted by: Smokie on April 16, 2008 08:26 AM
7. #5 Not as 'painful' as it's gonna be! :)

Posted by: Duffman on April 16, 2008 08:29 AM
8. Duff is right, once Darcy opens her mouth and starts trying to speak in public it will painful for everyone. It's like listening to Eric Oemig in Drag.

Posted by: Smokie on April 16, 2008 08:37 AM
9. The race is Dave Reichert's to win or lose.

"Darcy Burner's fundraising thus far this year is robust", and is there the risk that she can do to Reichert what Cantwell did to Gorton in 2000.

Dave Reichert needs to clearly state what he has accomplished for his district and the nation from 2005 to 2007, and his plans for the future.

Unless he does, and given the shifting demographics of the 8th CD, the loss of Toms and Jared, Reichert's seat is significantly at risk

Posted by: Green Lake Mark on April 16, 2008 09:36 AM
10. That should have been "expect 2008 to be a much bigger wave than 2006".

Posted by: Daniel K on April 16, 2008 09:46 AM
11. And just what has darcy done to improve her resume/qualifications in the past 18 months? Taken over the local homeowners association? Passed the bar? She was unqualified then and I have not seen her do anything since the election to change that assessment.

Posted by: arby on April 16, 2008 10:51 AM
12. That should have been "expect 2008 to be a much bigger wave than 2006"

And when it's not, are you guys going to start screaming about 'stolen elections' again? Or are you going to take your lumps because you've got a lousy candidate?

Posted by: jimg on April 16, 2008 10:58 AM
13. And what, exactly, were Reichert's qualifications before he was representative? Letting the Green River Killer go?

Posted by: Mark on April 16, 2008 12:30 PM
14. And just what has darcy done to improve her resume/qualifications in the past 18 months?

Fixed it for you:
And just what has Rossi done to improve his resume/qualifications in the past 41 months?

Posted by: Cato on April 16, 2008 12:36 PM
15. Cato @14 -

Thank-you for conceding the point by attempting to change the subject. Another fine example from you of the logical fallacy known as ignoratio elenchi.

Posted by: ewaggin on April 16, 2008 01:13 PM
16. It goes to show how fast & far the Republican party has fallen in WA. A few years ago we had Jennifer Dunn, one of the brighter lights in the U.S. House.

Now it is entirely possible that we may end up with McDermott in a skirt representing the 8th.

Posted by: russell garrard on April 16, 2008 01:22 PM
17. I'm in the 8th CD and while I'm willing to donate money to ensure that Burner doesn't get elected, I'm not willing to give it to Reichert due to his lousy stance on illegal immigration issues.

Posted by: Smoley on April 16, 2008 01:45 PM
18. @15:

Glad to help, proved my point. Dinno hasn't done squat and he's had twice as long as Darcy to pad his resume. Yet somehow he's more qualified than Darcy to be in office?

Posted by: cato on April 16, 2008 02:29 PM
19. The problem Duffer, is that your BDS clouds everything you write. Reichert can do no right, and, in the world of the fringe-leftist nutburger, Burnout can do no wrong.

Hatred of anyone involved with a political party can be a powerful thing. But it's going to take more than your hatred for the empty suits (either empty suit, come to think of it) that you support to ever win.

And the longer that democrat circular firing squad keeps putting rounds down range into each other, the less likely it is that Burnout, who's suit is no less empty this time around than it was last, will muster up the support she needs.

Remember, every leftist outfit on the planet can give her money like they did last time.... but they can't vote. And with the abysmal efforts of the democrat-led congress (How's that "we'll end the war" thing workin' for ya?), there's little enough of a reason to strengthen the idiocy of the leftist leadership of THE government body that makes Bush look wildly popular in comparison.

Posted by: hinton on April 16, 2008 04:24 PM
20. And cato goes on to prove the self-delusion of the left.

"Dinno[sic]," he spews, "hasn't done squat and he's had twice as long as Darcy to pad his resume. Yet somehow he's more qualified than Darcy to be in office?"

Well, aside from the fact that Burnout's unqualified to hold any office outside her condo association, it's hard to believe that anyone without a loose screw could possibly believe that SENATOR Rossi (You do remember, don't you, cato, that Rossi has ACTUALLY BEEN ELECTED TO AN OFFICE?) who chaired the State Senate Ways and Means Committee while working with Locke and implementing the Priorities of Government" budget, somehow compares favorably to a receptionist like Darci?

So, in direct answer to your rather moronic question: "Yet somehow he's more qualified than Darcy to be in office?" I say yes.... yes he is. In every conceivable way... in any and every way you can possibly think of. Much, come to think of it, like Reichert.

And I can state that while simultaneously not supporting Rossi. But some things are such no-brainers that they have to be said in the face of such monumental ignorance.

Thank you so much for asking, and do come back again soon.

Posted by: hinton on April 16, 2008 04:38 PM
21. Having some time to waste this afternoon, I took a close look at Burner's FEC filing documents, as I have been curious, like others, as to how much of this money actually comes from people in the 8th CD. It turns out that $140,735 came from the King County portion, $2750 from the Pierce County portion, adding up to $143,485. That's 27% of the funds raised this quarter, or as I look at it, 73% of her financial backing is from OUTSIDE the district. The funniest revelation however, was that our dear friend Daniel K didn't give her any money. Also, does anyone know if it is either legal and/or ethical to use campaign contributions to pay her health insurance premiums. If that's OK to do, I think I'll run for some office.

Posted by: ameslaker on April 16, 2008 04:59 PM
22. I guess using Campaign donations to pay for health insurance premiums is Darcy's own little version of universal healthcare. In her universe it's OK to have other people who thought they were paying for her campaign expenses, actually pay for her health insurance.

Posted by: Smokie on April 16, 2008 05:23 PM
23. Darcy Burner will vote to raise taxes. She said she thinks her taxes are too low. Fuh-get about it!

Posted by: Michele on April 16, 2008 05:57 PM
24. She has the same negative vibe that Hillary presents. Just listen to Darcy speak and you'd rather listen to nails on a chalk board.

I'd vote for lawn furiture before her...

Posted by: flyguy2 on April 16, 2008 09:44 PM
25. She has the same negative vibe that Hillary presents. Just listen to Darcy speak and you'd rather listen to nails on a chalk board.

I'd vote for lawn furiture before her...

Posted by: flyguy2 on April 16, 2008 09:45 PM
26. All the WSRP has to do to defeat Darcy Burner is show a montage of her speaking. Her own words bring her down. She's got a breathless accusatory tone that has very little charisma. She's got limited experience, and she was not truthful about that limited experience. A middle management position at a software company and leadership in a small community homeowners association really isn't much to get excited about. It would be one thing if she made millions and could buy her way in to the office. But that's not the case.

She's obviously very motivated, but has tripped herself up many times by trying to appear either larger than her real accomplishments, or by appealing to angry and mostly irrational hatred of the President.

This is not the behavior of someone who wants to win a suburban congressional district race. And Democrats don't often change strategy. That's the nature of their ideology, they are right, and if you don't agree, they will shout you down. I doubt Burner will make any significant changes to her campaign. And then after another failure, she'll be done, because voters will tire of her tone.

Posted by: Jeff B. on April 17, 2008 10:16 AM
27. I suggest that every liberal here write HUGE checks to Darcy please. Spend every dollar you might have spent on other races at the national, state and local level. Give Darcy every last dollar! Speaking as someone who lives in the district, i would say that Darcy would make a fine representative for Seattle.

Darcy would make a fine representative or Seattle - but the 8th district is not Seattle. The politics she offers is exactly they kind of thing that the residents of the area are rebelling against right now in a 1000 little ways. (We're caring a whole lot more about taxes and roads and a lot less about war and Bush bashing on the eastside these days.)

Darcy couldn't win at a time when Reichert was a first termer and hatred for "R's" was at a fever pitch. That won't be the case this time.

Reichert will get his money when the time comes. The national party won't let this seat go to the Dems without a fight and it won't cost that much comparatively to hold it versus other places they're drawing battle lines.

Posted by: johnny on April 17, 2008 11:14 AM
28. I think that a lot of us over in the 2nd Congressional District are VERY PLEASED at the funds that Darcy is siphoning off the top, a portion of that money was originally ear marked for Rick Larsen. But since he was either going to have another challenge by Roulstone or no opponent of any consequence, it went over to Darcy. Now that Rick Bart is in the race and doing a great job setting up his campaign, Rick desperately needs the money back and Darcy may not be returning his phone calls. Gregoire is pulling out the stops to collect up her war chest and so are many other Demos who feel the winds changing this year, so things are starting to get tight. Word has it that the Snohomish County Democratic Party wasted a small fortune on their 'County Convention' that was severely under attended by fighting Demo factions that had already blooded themselves in their District Caucuses. You know the Obama vs Hillary battle. Rick is having major problems getting his re-election campaign underway right now and insiders tell me he is worried. One way to tell is if any of his staff put their resumes out on the street in the next month or so.

Posted by: Bob Clark on April 17, 2008 07:21 PM
29. ameslaker, a few points:

- I have made a number of small donations to her campaign. Itemized donations as listed in the FEC reports are required for donations of $200 or greater. A large amount of her donations have been smaller ones like mine, and are characterized as "unitemized" donations. Burner received 4,859 contributions from 4,416 individuals in the first quarter. She has received 11,615 contributions from 8,817 donors who have given over the course of the current campaign.

- Not only did Burner receive more money overall, but she also received more contributions from within the district than Reichert did. About 200 of her itemized contributions came from donors in the 8th district, while a little under 180 of Reichert's are (and that includes those from the Laura Bush fundraiser). Only half of Reichert's big money donors at the Laura Bush event were from the 8th.

- And thanks for pointing out that Burner provides medical benefits to people on her campaign staff. That's not only legal and ethical, it's responsible management of employees.

Posted by: Daniel K on April 17, 2008 10:15 PM
30. Eric - The Summary Page focuses on what the campaign committee raised directly. The reason why Reichert's numbers are so much lower in that section is because it doesn't include the $90,000 that was raised through a separate committee. Don't blame someone else for your misunderstanding of the reports.

Posted by: Daniel K on April 17, 2008 10:36 PM
31. Now tell us Daniel, how does Darcy's fundraising change the fact that she has never sought to serve her community when a paycheck isn't attached? Is Darcy for Impeachment Daniel? Will Darcy pledge as the two candidates for President in your party did, to never raise taxes on anyone who makes less that $250,000 a year? Would Darcy vote to end the "Bush Tax Cuts" ? Would Darcy vote to raise Capital Gains taxes? The fact is Darcy will vote party line, partisanship is all she knows. She has never been in a postion where she has had to work cooperatively with people of an opposing party so she will never be abel to get things done as an effective representative for the 8th District. Washington doesn't need another McDermott.

Posted by: Smokie on April 18, 2008 07:15 AM
32. Smokie - I'm go glad you are interested in Burner's positions on issues. You can read all about them at http://www.darcyburner.com/pages/issues_and_positions/

As an example of bi-partisanship (not that partisanship is a bad thing IMO), you need look no further than the Iraq Plan which was developed working with Bush's ex-Iraq General, Paul Eaton.

Posted by: Daniel K on April 18, 2008 07:37 AM
33. So you saying that She will raise taxes on everyone who pays Federal Income Taxes and has investments in the 8th District, because that is what she is advocating. I didn't know "Bush" owned Generals, but just like with her lack of public service if that all you have to cite, I guess you had to go there.

I am curious, Darcy talks about "investments" in public education, does that mean she will start to send Henry to public school?

Posted by: Smokie on April 18, 2008 07:49 AM
34. Major General Paul Eaton, advisor to the Hillary Clinton Campaign? Thats "Bush's" General?

Posted by: Smokie on April 18, 2008 08:02 AM
35. Major General Paul Eaton, a man who voted for Bush, and who was Petraeus' predecessor in Iraq.

Posted by: Daniel K on April 18, 2008 07:05 PM
36. So are you saying Eaton is still a Bush voter?. Whatever he was, he is a Hillary boy now. Again how does that qualify as Bi-partisan cooperation on Darcys account? It doesn't. She will be a Pelosi Rubber Stamp at least 95% she hasn't had an independant political thought in the last decade.

Posted by: Smokie on April 18, 2008 09:37 PM
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