February 19, 2007
Re: Million Dollar Bash

On a related note, the sound you're hearing as we approach the now pointless March 13th ballot is the rarely heard groan of a politician impaling themself on the sharpened sword of their own base. Yes, that's harsh analogy, but is there any other way to describe how Governor Gregoire is seemingly insistent on shoving the rebuild down Seattle's throat?

Gregoire says "the so-called surface option has been studied extensively." Yet as Erica Barnett at the Stranger points out, WSDOT simply studied the surface only option (basically knockdown the Viaduct and assume everything else stays equal). In contrast, what the surface plus transit option entails is something more thorough. Danny Westneat explored the idea and how similar concepts worked in successfully mitigating the closure of the downtown bus tunnel.

Good people can disagree about how to replace the viaduct. Just here at Sound Politics Stefan favors a retrofit or a rebuild, meanwhile I prefer the surface street option. Yet it is amazing that whatever one's position, Gregoire seems hell bent on infuriating a large number of Seattle Democrats (Sen. Ed Murray already having alluded to pending "transportation warfare").

All the more reason the March 13th ballot is a nonsensical policy exercise but amazing political theater.

Posted by Eric Earling at February 19, 2007 07:34 PM | Email This
Comments
1. Eric

Anyone that favors an option of surface streets must not come out of their cave all that often. Those of use that actually have jobs, need to get around and be productive need the access a highway offers. Imagine the surface streets in Seattle with a 150K more cars then today.

Eric, Go outside more often.

Posted by: swassociates on February 19, 2007 07:22 PM
2. The reason we face this absurd election is primarily because so many people suspeneded their critical faculties and accepted the convenient lie that "the Viaduct must be replaced." Both Tunnel and Surface/Transit (S/T)advocates were quite happy to accept the lie that the Viaduct could not be Repaied in order to further their own agenda.

As an aside, the S/T is a non-starter. There'll be a rebellion if Gregoire tries to force the monstrous Rebuild on us but there will be war if the politicos try to tear down the Viaduct before we are ready.

Posted by: David Sucher on February 19, 2007 07:33 PM
3. Some times, even Democrats get it right. What you are hearing is not Greogire impaling herself on her own base (I think you've been reading too much Goldy) but instead the sound of a politician desperately trying to sound rational, so as to get re-elected.

The surface street option is stupid. There is a major North - South corridor in 99 that needs to be preserved. Gregoire really doesn't care too much about the Viaduct. She knows that Utopian tunnel scheme is financially unworkable. So she's decided to punt and throw some meat to the Republicans who will otherwise have one more reason to make sure she does not get re-elected in 2008. (Not that she has a chance.) But, she's gotta do something in light of all of her previous gaffes.

Eric, go down to the waterfront during the morning or afternoon commute. A good spot is right below Pike Place Market. Get yourself a coffee, or whatever overpriced Seattle drink of your choice, and just sit there for a few minutes and look at the traffic volume on the viaduct. It won't take long, and then you'll return to sanity, because we know that unlike the lefty enviro-nuts who favor the surface option 'cuz they irrationally hate cars, you are still generally guided by rational thought.

Posted by: Jeff B. on February 19, 2007 08:58 PM
4. Yay! Fun political analogies! I love it, love it, love it. This whole fiasco promises there will be no shortage of creative and sensational headlines and ledes.

"If it's war you want, it's war you'll get"

"Prepare for war"

...

Any more good ones?

P.S. What has happend to the initiative to name the new monstrosity after Gregoire or Frank Chopp?

Posted by: Patrick on February 19, 2007 10:44 PM
5. The existing viaduct should be mildly reinforced to take a small quake, in the 5-6 range. Why? Because if the Big One strikes, the viaduct will be the least of Seattle's problems. An 8.5 or 9.0 quake would surely destroy even a new viaduct. It would also destroy about 80% of the buildings and structures in Seattle. At the time of the quake, there may be a couple hundred cars on the viaduct. So maybe 3 to 5 hundred people could potentially be killed. The chances of the quake striking during a heavy traffic period must be considered within the 24 hours available in the day, MOST of which are NOT heavy traffic hours, (maybe 6 total hours). So a rush hour quake of 9.0 has to fight the other 18 hours of the day for a spot. Last but not least, the Big One will also destroy every other city within 100 miles of it's epicenter, not to mention hurl a major tsunami across the Pacific which would impact Japan, Russia, Alaska, the entire US west coast, Indonisia, etc. So spending billions of dollars on a viaduct that will surely be destroyed makes little sense. Use it for schools & graffiti enforcement.

Posted by: Scott C on February 19, 2007 10:51 PM
6. Good comment Scott. But, graffiti enforcement? LOL

Posted by: swatter on February 20, 2007 06:25 AM
7. Using the SF Embarcadero tear-down as an analogy to what is possible here is preposterous. The Embarcadero was primarily used by locals as a shortcut across town and lost tourists trying to find Fisherman's Wharf; the AW viaduct is a major state highway.

It took a while, but Gregoire is finally experiencing Karma. I still say a celebrity death match between she and Nickels is begging to be made.

Posted by: Organization Man on February 20, 2007 06:59 AM
8. Taking Scott's astute points further: decide the design and funding mechanisms for the SR 520 bridge-and-approaches project first. Re-allocate the $2B in gas tax increase proceeds from the SR 99 replacement pot to the SR 520 pot. We can figure out what to do with that stretch of SR 99 LATER. Patch that sucker, and deal with it later.

And no damn RTID or ST2.

Posted by: Orotund on February 20, 2007 07:25 AM
9. First comment is what amount of traffic going along a surface street starts to make the experience of walking along the waterfront, with the traffic right next to us, a bad experience? Now, the days / times with the most traffic may not be when the most people would want to be walking along the waterfront. The wall of an elevated viaduct might be a lot better than the wall of a bunch of cars, either moving or stopped to let someone cross.

Second, it would be very interesting to have an origin and destination study of the traffic going along the viaduct. This would help greatly in assessing what type of transit options would be most helpful, or whether surface streets would really be usable as an alternative.

The other day I got on a bus at 2nd and Pike. It went a few blocks south, turned onto the viaduct at Columbia going south, and was outside the city limits into Burien in just a few minutes. The current viaduct does work well as a transit way for some buses already. A surface alternative could actually make some of the existing transit not work as effectively.

Posted by: Stuart Jenner on February 20, 2007 07:56 AM
10. Why are our leaders not even considering a bridge between Battery Street in the North and approximately Spokane St in the South? It would have the least traffic disruption during construction, would cost less than the tunnel, would look nice, and would probably cost less or at least not more than a Viaduct rebuild. The ugly Viaduct would be gone, all the "thru" traffic would be away from the waterfront, and the waterfront would be more pedestrian friendly.

Posted by: Robert on February 20, 2007 08:21 AM
11. Bridge?? No way: it will cost less.

Remember, the cost is the benefit for these loons.

And, a bridge will not rebuild a local matter-the seawall, with state funds.

The bridge is a complete non starter with existing policy makers, who are proving beyond a shadow of a doubt they have non starter brains.

Posted by: Hank on February 20, 2007 08:44 AM
12. Beauty is in the eye of the beholder. There are a lot of uglier things in Seattle than the viaduct. And besides, your ugliness is beauty to my wallet.

Posted by: swatter on February 20, 2007 08:50 AM
13. This entire debate was held 30 years ago in New York -- when the elevated West Side Highway started crumbing (big sections fell down).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/West_Side_Highway

Posted by: John Bailo on February 20, 2007 09:00 AM
14. The thrashing about over this viaduct shows how the current transportation planning system is broken. End of story.

The Legislature is working on a fix to this hairball. Check out the staff report for SB 5803:

http://www.leg.wa.gov/pub/billinfo/2007-08/Pdf/Bill%20Reports/Senate/5803.SBR.pdf

I would be very interested in Eric Earling and swatter commenting on this bill - near as I can tell, those two may have interests in the status quo continuing, and if they object to SB 5803 I'd be interested in why.

What's not to love about greater accountability to taxpayers, and the existence of a governing board with elected members that is able to prioritize among megaprojects?

We need an entity with power that can make decisions such as: "We can't afford a tunnel given the SR 520 costs, we need to fund light rail extensions using different taxes than sales taxes, paying for I-405 improvements at the SR 2 interchange is more important this year than paying for Sounder tracks to Lakewood, etc." Those are the kind of multi-variable, critical tradeoffs the current ad hoc system CAN NOT MAKE.

Posted by: Frank Black on February 20, 2007 09:12 AM
15. If Sims and Earling want a surface street then it's obviously the way to go. Now all we have to wait for is the Westneat stamp of approval on the Sims/Earling plan.

One thing that's a little cloudy is why the "reconnect Seattle to the waterfront" crowd is willing to compromise on a surface roadway. Take a look at the cars on 99 between Denney and Greenlake and ponder how things would really be along the waterfront with a surface makeover. Then look at 99 north of Greenlake any morning or afternoon. That sure would enhance the waterfront and reconnect things. Organization Man's spot on. The Embarcadero and 99 can't be compared.

That surface compromise wouldn't have anything to do with a scheme to get the state to foot the bill for rebuilding the seawall would it?

Posted by: tax poor on February 20, 2007 09:33 AM
16. At #11 "Remember, the cost is the benefit for these loons."

In a nutshell.

Posted by: mykela on February 20, 2007 10:55 AM
17. Jeff B is right on the politics here. Gregoire, it seems to me, realizes new that her previous punt on the viaduct was (rightly) perceived as a complete failure of leadership and a political disaster. And so now she's wildly shifted gears to pose as the tough guy in the debate so that she can tell GOP-leaning independents on the Eastside next year that she was on the right side of this boondoggle.

It's pretty transparent. And it just might work--assuming, of course, that the Seattle/King County political elite who are now so furious at Chris don't do anything to get revenge in 2008. With a credible Rossi campaign on the horizon, I assume Chris is betting that she'll get a free pass.

Posted by: DJ on February 20, 2007 11:53 AM
18. Oh, and for what it's worth, I support a surface street option for now because it'll be clear within a year after the viaduct comes down that something more--a tunnel, elevated, bridge, space elevator, SOMETHING--is needed. And that'll create real political pressure from commuters to solve the problem. Right now, commuters are the one group who don't seem to have much of a voice in this debate. It's a fight among the elites.

When commuters in the region see what's at stake with I-5 gridlock and surface streets that look like Bangkok, they'll be able to rationally determine how much they'd pay out-of-pocket to fix the problem.

And, hell, if the surface street/public transportation option actually WORKS--well, then we all win. Right?

Posted by: DJ on February 20, 2007 12:03 PM
19. I looked at the Senate bill, Frank, regarding the superagency.

One thing I couldn't understand is that 9 members were to be elected. It wasn't clear if they were to be elected to that position or as an 'elected official appointee' as ST currently is.

I noticed that 6 of the members were to be political cronies hired, I assume, at some outragious salary by the Governess.

I noticed this was another 'emergency'.

I noticed that this group was to function somewhat like the old Puget Sound Regional Council, or in other words, a rubber stamp.

I agree that transportation planning is a mess, but I don't see another superagency as a real solution. I just see this as another boondoggle in five years. Was it Truman or was it another president that said that after five years, the department regulating this or that becomes just as bad as the group they are regulating.

But, Frank, I hope you see my prejudices on this. Protect my pocketbook; I'll spend if there is a need and repair of the viaduct is my solution at this time. And, I hope you see the points I made on the SB synopsis were made as ridicule or potential ridicule of the bill.

Posted by: swatter on February 20, 2007 03:14 PM
20. Maybe swatter just needs to read the bill. The URL to it is here:

http://www.leg.wa.gov/pub/billinfo/2007-08/Pdf/Bills/Senate%20Bills/5803.pdf

Sec. 302 talks about the board composition. The board would be fifteen nonpartisan members. Nine are elected from districts within the region (not at large). Direct elected. The other six are to have certain technical expertise. They are appointed by the governor, and approval by the senate is required.

That means FAR more accountability to citizens and voters. Compare it to ST, where all are political appointees. Sims appoints 12 of the 18, and the other six are appointed by the Co. Exec's of Pierce and Snohomish County.

You like Sims' political appointees taxing you swatter? You are a freaking un-American patsy. And this truly is an emergency. If this doesn't happen, ST2 and RTID - backed by uber-statists and the union and bond-sales interests that would buy that election - could well win in November. That'd subject this part of the world to unbelievably high sales taxes for untold decades for projects of marginal utility (and those could be pared back after the vote WITHOUT voter approval).

This entity would serve the key function of the current PSRC (the feds require such an entity to submit requests for fed money which include disbursement plans). Again - with a majority of direct electeds taking over that role the power of the citizen is dramatically increased over the status quo. Now the PSRC is appointees.

There would be numerous benefits of an entity accountable to taxpayers that can prioritize among megaproject requests. I'm not going to try to list them here. It is worth saying though that Eyman's wrong-headed approach ("Voters have to vote on all tax increases!!") would inexorably lead to SMP- and ST-like debacles, where self-interested statists draft misleading ballot measures.

I urge everyone to read the bill. I hope the legislature moves it forward. It would serve the economic interests of this region well, and it would return power to citizens in this State, where citizens' rights now are illusory.


Posted by: Greg Sorkin on February 20, 2007 04:48 PM
21. I generally like the bill Frank Black highlighted at #14. I've mentioned the notion in the past and support the idea. The bill in question seems to have promise and I'll post something on it a bit later.

Posted by: Eric Earling on February 20, 2007 05:44 PM
22. Eric, I think Frank and Greg are one and the same; I don't know why he changed his moniker, but he had good questions on both posts.

His first post was a synopsis and I responded to the bullet lines. I like the idea of elected boards responsible to the taxpayers, unlike ST and other boards that have appointed elected officials.

I had some problem with the 9 districts divided equally/unequally among 2 or 3 counties. Where would the lines be drawn?

And could this Board be formed before this horrible bond proposal comes to a vote this fall? I doubt it.

Who would pay for the Board and their inevitable staff of 100?

And who would run to be a member of the Board? Who would win? Why would anyone run (and don't be emotional, but think down the road 5-10 years)? What would be their platform (everything okay now so let's keep at it or time to turn things topsy-turvy)?

I would prefer to see ST get elected officials not appointed officials. I prefer to solve the problem head on instead of throwing money to temporarily quench a raging forest fire.

Frank and Greg, Eric and I disagree a whole lot on light rail and other transit options when more highway capacity should be numero uno concern.

Posted by: swatter on February 21, 2007 06:52 AM
23. Which design will have a higher throughput of vehicular traffic on the viaduct? The elevated version or the tunnel version?

Robert

Posted by: Robert on February 22, 2007 04:49 PM
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