September 24, 2006
Moderates Win Democratic Elections

Stefan details below how local Democratic party organizations seem to have bet on the wrong horses in a couple recent elections, especially the primary challenge to Sen. Tim Sheldon. A similar trend occurred in Snohomish County, where Steve Hobbs beat Lillian Kaufer to win the right to challenge Republican incumbent Dave Schmidt in the general election for the 44th Legislative District's Senate seat.

Sen. Sheldon's independence and periodic work with Republicans is well known, but the Hobbs v. Kaufer race is an interesting, though lower profile, example of a more moderate candidate trumping party structures. Kaufer was endorsed by the 44th District Democrats, and the Snohomish County Democrats as well. Kaufer made a local name for herself opposing a new Wal-Mart store, and received a goodly amount of favorable pixels in the liberal blogosphere (here, here, and here). Hobbs, meanwhile had lost a primary last year for Snohomish County Council to the more liberal, and now sitting Councilman, Dave Somers. In this year' race, Hobbs had the backing of more moderate supporters than Kaufer, including County Executive Aaron Reardon, former Governor Gary Locke, the Snohomish County Labor Council, and the Boeing Machinists. Yet, he beat his party's grassroots comfortably.

I doubt it's a reliable trend, certainly the battle of the liberals of the 43rd District primary speaks for itself, but it is intriguing. In Hobbs case, Jerry Cornfield notes his growth as a candidate from last year to this in today's Everett Herald. Cornfield also accurately notes Hobbs faces tough duty in attempting to topple Senator Schmidt, and I'd be lying if I said I wish Hobbs well in the general election since Schmidt is an effective, common sense, conservative voice in Olympia. But it is interesting to see another Democrat beat his own party's organizations in the primary.

Posted by Eric Earling at September 24, 2006 01:12 PM | Email This
Comments
1. Any candidate that puts pink in their political sign probably does not deserve anyone's vote.

Posted by: Andrew Roberts on September 24, 2006 09:51 PM
2. I think your analysis misses the race where neighborhood activist Claudia Kauffman beat former Police chief Ed Crawford.

Posted by: Rob Dolin on September 25, 2006 02:24 AM
3. Flawed analysis. Tim Sheldon is a conservative not a moderate. The NRA gave him a A+. He is conservative on social issues. In 2004, the ACU gave him a rating of 92%. ETC. ETC. Tim Sheldon won because he was a conservative not a moderate.

Posted by: M&M on September 25, 2006 08:15 AM
4. In 2004, the ACU gave him a rating of 92%.


Wow, that's extremely interesting considering THE ACU DOESN'T RANK CANDIDATES FOR STATE OFFICE!!!!

Posted by: Cliff Smith on September 25, 2006 11:21 AM
5. Sheldon may be a FISCAL conservative, but how many social conservatives vote pro-choice, as Sheldon CONSISTENTLY does? (Oh, excuse me, he HAS
followed his more conservative constituents' wishes and modified that stance by voting for parental notification -- which MOST of America supports--which is enough to CONSISTENTLY keep NARAL from endorsing him) but on the BIG issue of giving women their choice, he stands with them
100% of the time. He's a champion of tribal soverignty (having worked for tribes for many years), almost single-handedly prevented gravel mining and barging operations from taking place in Hood Canal(oh - but that was so long ago, he might not have been acting in an OFFICIAL capacity -- so I guess it doesn't count). His own family tree farm is full of Conservation Easements
(agreements with the state not to cut sensitive areas for 50 years) and includes a state-designated bald eagle territory (protected site).
There's so much bull being spread about Sheldon's record - that ridiculous claim that he threw 40,000 kids off basic health care (not true -- they were never ON the plan, and there was no money that year to put them on) -- it's no wonder people think he's a social conservative. They're lying -- don't bite!

Posted by: Clagett on September 25, 2006 01:47 PM
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