Here's an open thread for anyone bold enough to make a prediction, any prediction, on today's election.
(In the absence of polling data and historical party votes for the judicial races, I have just one prediction: I expect John Groen and Stephen Johnson to do better than Jeanette Burrage. That's not much of a prediction, but there isn't much data available, at least not publicly available.)
Posted by Jim Miller at September 19, 2006 02:54 PM | Email This1. Historic low turnout
2. Record number of invalid votes because people fail to fill out the party question.
3. No justice gets over 50%
4. Fairwood's not a city
Alexander and Chambers win the other two races.
Posted by: swatter on September 19, 2006 03:16 PMStephen Johnson wins a plurality and is up against Owens in the general.
very low turnout.
McGavick beats Klippert. Klippert runs as an independent.
Beren does better than Cassidy (percentage-wise).
Posted by: Jim Johnson, Jr. on September 19, 2006 03:19 PMCall me a risk taker :D
Posted by: Al on September 19, 2006 03:39 PMThe party choice confusion shouldn't impact the non-partisan races, so the focus will be on the "big 3."
1. Steve Johnson and Susan Owens to a November run-off. (I don't think Mike Johnson, Smith and Ericson will pull that many votes -- if we're lucky, Owens' supporters will be stupid enough to vote for one of the phony candidates.)
2. Unfortunately, the power of incumbency will probably push Alexander past 50%.
3. Incumbency should also push Chambers over the top.
Posted by: Joe Waldron on September 19, 2006 03:45 PM"research" will find a host of other reasons why no one picked up their fat little fingers and put a stamp on a ballot & mailed it--results will find everyone "too busy these days"
didn't Oregon prove this?
Posted by: jimmie-howya-doin on September 19, 2006 03:55 PMSpokane County Dist. Ct. Judge Pos. 2
Sara Derr 51%
Dan Davis 40%
Dana Kelley 9%
Spokane County Sheriff (GOP Primary)
Ozzie Knezovich 52%
Cal Walker 48%
Spokane County Assessor (GOP Primary)
Ralph Baker 57%
Brad Stark 43%
Nah, Ron's girls have a plan!
Groen 50.5%
Alexander 49.5%
Chambers 57%
Burrage 43%
Owens 45%
Stephen Johnson 35%
Michael Johnson 10%
Ericson 5%
Smith 5%
Darcy Burner will have false hope because her numbers will look so good. My BOLD perdiction is that she will have more votes after the primary, but that won't hold for the general election.
Sheldon wins.
Groen and Johnson do well. Chambers wins more than 60%
Posted by: Andrew Roberts on September 19, 2006 05:17 PM35th: Sheldon wins, leaves the party for the new session
26th: Hines and England win
COW 2: Owens (38%), S. Johnson (34%), M. Johnson (12%), Ericson (8%), Smith (8%)
COW 8: Groen (54%) defeats Gerry (46%)
COW 9: Chambers (57%) defeats Burrage (43%)
And on that note, I'm on my way to the store to buy champagne for Groen's victory.
Posted by: ARS on September 19, 2006 05:18 PMDarcy Burner will have false hope because her numbers will look so good. My BOLD perdiction is that she will have more votes after the primary, but that won't hold for the general election.
Sheldon wins.
Groen and Johnson do well. Chambers wins more than 60%
Posted by: Andrew Roberts on September 19, 2006 05:23 PMAFIS passes and the parade of basic government services heading to the ballot to be placed on the shoulders of property tax payers will continue.
Posted by: eric on September 19, 2006 07:52 PMGod, I'm glad I didn't go to his primary party.
Posted by: ScottM on September 19, 2006 08:11 PM