February 09, 2006
Maybe the two are related

Seattle Weekly: "Getting Ready for Rails: Sound Transit is on time and under budget—if you don't count the first five years"

P-I: Seattle Bus Service: Status quo special

When it comes to bus service, what Seattle sees may be uncomfortably close to what it gets in the future. As many weary Metro Transit riders can tell you, the status quo of infrequent trips, overloads and packed buses passing city riders isn't good enough by a long shot.
Gee, maybe if they didn't blow billions on the light rail boondoggle there would be enough money available for transit solutions that actually do some good.

And they'll be asking for billions more for the boondoggle next year.

Posted by Stefan Sharkansky at February 09, 2006 11:00 AM | Email This
Comments
1. "The legislation includes a ban on placing the big package of proposed regional tax increases on the ballot in King, Pierce and Snohomish counties this year"

Actually, Shark, they aren't asking for billions more. They are just robbing it out of our own pocket.

Posted by: C. Oh on February 9, 2006 11:09 AM
2. Now again, exactly why am I subject to this if I live and work outside the UGA?

I still have narrow two laned dirt roads that just had a chip seal on them. I could hardly afford that, but now you are asking me to help replace the viaduct and I should be happy about it?

Oh, I get to vote? But my vote is lumped with the metrosexuals in Seattle, so my money is going to be used to support them? Wonderful. Ain't it a Wonderful Life?

Posted by: swatter on February 9, 2006 11:25 AM
3. What good does voting on this crap do any more?

As I've stated before, the sooner we all realize that we are going to pay through our asses for transportation and not get any congestion relief, the better off we will be.

It's like the 5 stages of grief.

1. Denial - They can't POSSIBLY be spending this much on transportation solutions that don't work

2. Anger - Who the hell do we have to vote out of office to get this turned around??? If this guy cuts me in line on the exit, he dies.

3. Bargaining - Maybe if we repeal most of their taxes they will see the light.

4. Depression - Initiative defeated. Traffic still sucks. More taxes coming.

5. Acceptance - see above.

Posted by: Palouse on February 9, 2006 11:47 AM
4. "Gee, maybe if they didn't blow billions on the light rail boondoggle there would be enough money for transit solutions that actually do some good."

Bingo. So clear. Now why don't the powers that be understand that??

Posted by: Misty on February 9, 2006 12:03 PM
5. The correct title of the article should be "Sound Transit is Under Water".

Posted by: Burdabee on February 9, 2006 12:23 PM
6. You do know that Sound Transit can legally raise the sales tax without telling anybody, don't you? Either it is an additional 0.5% or 0.5% total and in any case, it is a ton of money.

Posted by: swatter on February 9, 2006 01:49 PM
7. Remember the big bruhaha over the 9 1/2 cent per gallon gas tax increase last fall? Weren't there promises that they would be satisfied? Well here they are, with that goofey Rep. Ed Murray, Committee Chairman coming after more $$. It was predicted by many bloggers here.

Never forget that the blowhard dems will never be satisfied with yesterdays tax. Tomorrow is another day. Here they come again. Call the legislative hotline and leave a message.

bwana

Posted by: Bwana on February 9, 2006 01:55 PM
8. Actually, the 10th anniversary of Sound Transit is this spring. How much rail has been laid? Only the tax payers got screwed. But such is life in in the Peoples' Republic. Enjoy the ride.

Posted by: Mike Nolan on February 9, 2006 02:02 PM
9. Actually, the 10th anniversary of Sound Transit is this spring. How much rail has been laid. Only the tax payers got screwed. But such is life in in the Peoples' Republic. Enjoy the ride.

Posted by: Mike Nolan on February 9, 2006 02:02 PM
10. Lets put another idea on the table. What does the Seaport need for moving goods from the port? General purpose lanes. What does the tunnel on the water front do Moves most of that traffic to I-5. I guess we might as well close the seaport because I-5 can not be expanded. the tunnel will not support them. SO either traffic gets worse or you remove all the trucks from the road. What will happen if that takes place. Thousands of jobs lost to our economy. Then who will pay for mass transit? Businesses are robbing everyone so lets take more of their money. Thousands more jobs lost due to increase in taxes to pay for all these mega plans. Eventually the highways will be emptied because there will be no work. The mass transit proposals are a recession/Depression for KC.
If you want to expand the businesses in the area you need what. People to work. People to buy your services. A transportation system that will move goods from you to those who want your goods. The one thing that KC forgets is that you need to move the goods. You can not close down roads for bus only use and expect the trucks to be able to deliver their goods. What happens when it takes too long to get goods out of the port. The ships will go to Canada or Oregon or maybe even California because it will get to WA businesses faster than being tied up in traffic in KC.
We need more roads that are general purpose lanes. You do not see this in any planning. 520 bridge on plan means its capacity is at 75% of current capacity. Does that really make sense? The commission can not see beyond their blinders. Eventually the ecomomy will collapse while the rest of the country gets stronger. The reason is because of the cost and lack of will to improve the transportation system to allow trucks to move goods through the Seattle area. Time is money eventually they will find a way around the issue by going somewhere else. Oh yea any improvement or road fixes may not start for years. They have to plan them right like Light rail. THey will use all the money to plan the road work then demand more money. When they get it oh the deadline passed and we have to plan it again. The vicious dirty secret of KC spend all the money on planning so we get 5 cents on every dollar on actual road work.

Posted by: david anfinrud on February 9, 2006 02:28 PM
11. I forgot to mention that is what the "its your nickel signs are about" You will get your nickels worth but at what cost.

Posted by: david anfinrud on February 9, 2006 02:30 PM
12. David, why do so many people have to commute from Snohomish County, Pierce County and Kittitas County to Seattle? Why don't these jobs get created where people work? Then, you don't the traffic mess.

Why not stuff some of those jobs out of Seattle?

Posted by: tradersmith on February 9, 2006 03:02 PM
13. Tradersmith--a lot of people live outside of Seattle because of crappy schools and high housing costs. Or companies consolidate/relocate and employees can either come along or give up the job. I have a relative who has to commute from Mount Vernon to Everett because her workplace changed locations. Her husband is already retired and she only has a few years to go, so moving is not a practical option. She doesn't like the commute, but the choice of no paycheck or retirement benefits didn't appeal to her. David is right about setting up the infrastructure to move goods and services. One of Boeing's complaints is not being able to get items back and forth from Everett to Renton in a timely manner.

The idiots in local and state government insist on chasing these pie in the sky transportation dreams while they drive their cars to their designated parking spaces (or have their chauffer do the driving). It would make much more sense to greatly expand the bus fleet as well as adding more general purpose lanes. Expanding the bus fleet would allow buses to come more frequently during rush hour and also service more neighborhoods so people might actually consider taking the bus more often. As it is, I rarely get a seat on the way home from work. Some days I am surprised the driver even lets us on because the bus is already so full. I have found the bigget proponents of alternative transportation do not use it themselves on a regular basis.

Posted by: Burdabee on February 9, 2006 03:26 PM
14. And so my thesis is wrong because of your circumstance? My word, there are a million people in the area, or is it two? So, we have a million excuses?

Yours is rational as are those Boeing workers that started in Renton and then had to commute to Everett. Except, why couldn't there be more commuter vans? I just don't understand this obsession with mass transit here in this sparsely populated area.

Get the blasted jobs where the people are.

Posted by: tradersmith on February 9, 2006 03:41 PM
15. Tradersmith…if you owned a biz, why would you move it to Tacoma???

Home on complete dysfunctional government…high crime…even higher property taxes…high B&O taxes…the states highest insurance rates…worst police & fire response times in state…insane permit process…a city where 75% of the city workers refuse to live their…home to 1200 sex offenders…the city that receives with open arms 67% of all criminals from our state prisons…where crack dealers and prostitutes take charge of our streets…panhandlers hit on you right outside of city hall…50% of our children that start school will not graduate…ect, ect, ect !!!

That is why all of the jobs are in Seattle and more roads & buses... trains to the airport and safeco field won't cut it.

Posted by: tacoma phlash on February 9, 2006 03:51 PM
16. Tradersmith--What I stated in my previous post was that Boeing faced extended times to move parts and equipment from Everett to Renton, not people. Plus there are some positions at Boeing that require employees to regularly visit the different locations.

And either you don't take mass transit or else you are in a position where it actually works out for you--coworkers on the exact same schedule so using a commuter van is viable or a one shot bus ride. Also, just for giggles, check out when urban sprawl started. Bellevue was just a swamp until busing went into effect in Seattle and the suburbs suddenly exploded. Plus, many people want to own homes and prices keep moving people farther and farther out. Now I personally don't think it makes sense to live three hours away from one's job, but then I am not set on owning a home on a half acre or more. But to think it is just a matter of telling companies where to set up shop is not practical. There are many reasons people do what they do and before you advocate such a simplistic solution, start checking around and asking any friends or relatives who deal with long commutes why they do so.

Posted by: Burdabee on February 9, 2006 04:09 PM
17. Burbi, I did and still stand by my statements. If you get rid of 15% of the traffic by transferring jobs out of Seattle to Tacoma, Everett, Puyallup, NorthBend etc, that greatly frees up the freeways and the commute times for people like yourself.

Come on, though. Don't you think out of a million or so people, we can't do better- as in 15-20% better?

And as far as your historical comment about the growth of Bellevue, etc. was the result of bus traffic, I don't know how to answer it politely.

Bellevue and Renton populated after the construction of 405 and I-90. It was a progression from Seattle. It was delayed a few years because of the Boeing bust in late 60s, but it happened. It had nothing to do with bus service. BTW, I commuted from Bellevue to Seattle in the early 80s and if you call that bus service, then Sound Transit and the rest of the booddoggles should just rest on their laurels.

And no, flashman, I wouldn't move my business to Tacoma, but I would to areas near where my workforce was or where I wanted it to go.

Posted by: tradersmith on February 9, 2006 04:36 PM
18. Tradesmith...

How would you like to take 20% of all of the cars off the road tomorrow and not have it coast us one penny for new transportation projects...

Take every unregistered vehicle...unlicensed driver...and uninsured vehicle off our road now... and one in five cars would be parked in someone driveway instead off in traffic!!!

Posted by: tacoma phlash on February 9, 2006 05:47 PM
19. Do you know that the peak speed through Rainier Valley where the light rail is at grade will not exceed 35 - more often 30 mph ?

Who is going to want to ride on that if it takes them almost twice as long as it takes on the Sounder Train or an Express Bus ? So sorry for the residents of Seattle who got suckered (back in 1996) into paying for this he!! on wheels.

Posted by: KS on February 9, 2006 09:06 PM
20. Well the billions more in Car Tab taxes they are getting ready to shove down our throats will put the fire necessary in the hearts of the citizens of this state to pass Eymans $30 tabs round three. The people have spoken 2 times on $30 tabs, and they will speak loudly once again.

So go ahead legislature, include a ban on placing the big package of proposed regional tax increases on the ballot in King, Pierce and Snohomish counties this year.

Ignore the will of the people once again.

Unfortunately this cannot be classified as "Highway Robbery", as they won't build any highways!

Posted by: GS on February 9, 2006 10:29 PM
21. Plain and simple: there isn't a single major metropolitan city in the world that has succeeded in building a transportation system without rail or some kind of high capacity system.

When I read all the comments here, it's as if SP readers have never traveled beyond Idaho.

So what, do y'all think? Portland, San Fran, LA, San Diego, Vancouver, Denver, Salt Lake, Phoenix, Dallas, Houston, Chicago, NY, MPLS, Newark, Miami - all these cities just built rail for the heckuva it?

No, they built it, because in many cases, light rail carries a significant portion of the workforce to and from work each day (in Red San Diego, it's 25%)

"Gee, maybe if they didn't blow billions on the light rail boondoggle there would be enough money available for transit solutions that actually do some good. "

Sorry, Shark. The money the voters approved for Sound Transit's light rail CANNOT - by law - be spent on Metro Transit service. In fact, Metro Transit's revenues were approved by the voters in a totally different election. Now, when Sound Transit took over some of Metro's most expensive (longest) bus routes, Metro was able to re-deploy those service hours to the benefit of their own riders.

So, actually, Sound Transit has helped - not hurt - Metro bus riders. And when light rail is up and running, new service hours will be able to be re-deployed to east-west service, whil the light rail line will carry former bus riders along the most crowded corridors. (and if you really want buses instead of rail, say "goodbye" to all the HOV lanes across the region. Most all 'mom and pop' commuters will be kicked off the HOV lanes, into the regular lanes, and those HOV lanes will become bus-only, along with former SOV right-of-way and parking in places like downtown Bellevue and Seattle). The concept of "Bus Rapid Transit" always works as a concept only...and only for the very short term.

Second - the subject of the P-I editorial - it was Shark's pals Fimia, McKenna and Irons (all rail opponents, naturally) who voted in 2002 to re-allocate Metro bus service hours according to area, rather than demand. As a result, Seattle routes have continued to become more crowded, while new service hours have been distrubuted to suburban areas which have much lower density, and lower bus ridership.

So, "maybe the two are related?" Looks like just the opposite is true.

And if one were to examine the facts, and the history of this situation we're now in, with overloading buses: rather than blaming light rail, you may want to check your own back yard first, Shark.

Unfortunately, if Shark is going to construct a more credible critique of transit and light rail, he will need to start getting some of these basic facts straight. In my opinion, he has failed pretty miserably here.

And finally, I watched an archived version of Shark's interview with Emory Bundy (PRT/monorail enthusiast and light rail opponent) on the Seattle Channel. Shark said something like "I like to use rail systems in cities that have them."

What on earth is that supposed to mean? "I hate light rail, except for the light rail I enjoy using?" Oh boy.

Stefan, do you think there weren't anti-transit voices like the ones at SP, fighting those rail systems the whole way? You think SF's BART/Muni and DC's Metro systems were cheap and easy to build?

And how did conservatives - many of whom would never be caught dead on a bus, and seem to complain about them most of the time - suddenly decide that buses were the way to go instead of rail? Name ONE CITY in the United States which has successfully pursued this all-bus model. Good luck with that!

Posted by: WeNeedRoadsAndTransit on February 9, 2006 10:52 PM
22. And a King County Metro policy favoring suburban areas for additional bus service poses serious questions about hopes significant numbers of urban residents can give up or reduce car usage.

A Metro plan, adopted several years ago by the King County Council, envisions giving Seattle only 20 percent of new bus service. With Seattle expected to take about one-third of local growth in jobs, that doesn't keep pace with urbanization.

That, of course, was due to the fact that the rest of King County was subsidizing bus service for Seattle. They have their hands in your pockets at every opportunity.


As far as that post, transit boy, that cr@p is piled so high that all I have to do is wait for it to fall...cr@p doesn't pile well. Why don't you come back with more facts and less attitude, and we'll talk.

Posted by: South County on February 9, 2006 11:10 PM
23. The glories of mass transit does not work. What about kids in school and you work 60 minutes away by car but 2 hours by bus. That is if you get a perfect cross connect. Son or daughter gets sick Sorry school but I can not pick up my kid because the buses do not come to your school It will take me a couple of hours to get their. Sure it nice to have a stable location close to home to work. The only bus I can take to work takes 3 times longer to use than if I drive. It leaves 10 minutes before my daughters school bus. So what choice do I have. I have to get my kid to school. Buses are great if you have time. I have used them in most major cities in both the US and in Europe. I had no car because I was on a submarine. I just could not bring it with me. When you are going on liberty for an afternoon it was great but many times I had to walk or I arranged to catch the one of the last buses to come by near where my sub was berthed. But it never was closer than a mile to get to the bus stop. Then you have the parents that give their kids cars for high school. Most of the parking near my closest bus stop is 80% high school parking. Go figure. I have to walk to get to the bus stop 2 miles away I guess I can loss some wait and take 3 hours to get to work. When can you fit in family time? The bottom line is that everyone forgets you have to move goods. If your infrastructure is not setup to handle a lot of trucking in and out of a manufacturing plant it will not provide jobs to your area. If you want to grow jobs you need the roads. Most major cities spend a lot of money building new roads because they know it will mean more jobs. KC does not care. Then who will pay for your mass transit system. Right now the Taxpayer pays 50 to 90% of the cost of running the system. I hope you enjoy 3 to 5 times the cost increase to use your mass transit. Because if there are not cars there are not gas taxes, No license tab fees, Just plain no way to figure out how to take more money it the people do not have a good way to get to work and goods can not move because of traffic. And the future road work will cost thousands of jobs to Seattle. Because who wants to start a company where it takes hours to move your goods. Or you can only truck out the goods between Midnight and 6 AM.
One further note to the greenies. The lack of roads causes an increase in polution. You caused it. The most efficient use of gas is not at 20 miles an hour. Waste gas means need more gas. Wasted gas means more tax revenue. could that be the reason for lack of new roads over the past 2 decades.

Posted by: David Anfnrud on February 10, 2006 06:57 AM
24. roadkill, you started your argument well. Yes, why does Metro areas have rail and the Seattle area doesn't? You didn't answer that one except to say we were cheap. Are there other reasons- topography or geography, density, urban sprawl?

But then you went on a tangent and nothing made sense. Hammering the shark and a couple of writers and claiming they represented everyone, "so there" hasn't been a good argument since the fifth grade. Bring the "beef" or the "A game" if you prefer.

I am willing to listen.

Posted by: swatter on February 10, 2006 07:28 AM
25. WE NEED ROADS.................

Have you ever lived in San Diego?
I did for the last 40 years. The (red) train service there is a joke. First it's on the street, so it deals with traffic. 25% of the work force uses it.... Where did you get that from? One of the few people who really enjoy it is the gangs. They hop on it, scare the heck out of everyone and use it so they can cause trouble in other parts of the city. Plus they tear up the windows & seats. By the way they don't pay either. When I was working in the downtown area of San diego I used it for one month. So you could say I have some experence with it. It's a joke. I could go on much longer about this waste of taxpayers money, but maybe you get what I'm talking about.

Posted by: Army Medic/Vet on February 10, 2006 07:55 AM
26. Folks... let's get real. Here are some facts:

Light rail is more cost effective than buses in the long term. When we spend money on this "boondoggle", property becomes more valuable around stations. When presented with a permanent right of way, developers snap up properties and build higher density housing and office space, which in turn offers places for people to work that they don't need a car to get to. Sure, for the first line or two built, serving limited areas, this can actually increase traffic in the highest density zones - but as more areas are served, because service is not traffic-dependent, more people use it because the timing more consistent than any other mode of travel.

As property values increase and density increases, the cost of the line is likely paid back in property tax revenues. This can, with work by the public, result in a decrease in property tax rates - a net benefit for non-urban dwellers. A much larger percentage of people in a given area are willing to live in high density than locations offered, so the more density you build, the more space is also left for larger single-family lots outside of the city.

I understand that many conservatives will never be sold on any government project such as this. I'm fairly moderate (and I was against the monorail mess to begin with), but I support the Link project because it's the only way to keep the total size - and total driving time - of our urbanized area from expanding too quickly for population growth. Services are cheaper in high density because less infrastructure is needed.

In addition - a rail system like this will last at least a hundred years. For the cost now, we're effectively getting a small highway through Seattle at a lower price than new lane-miles in the same corridor that will last longer. If projects like Denver and Minneapolis are any indication, it will also take people off I-5 and reduce the cost of moving freight into the port.

Posted by: Ben Schiendelman on February 10, 2006 08:41 AM
27. "If projects like Denver and Minneapolis are any indication, it will also take people off I-5 and reduce the cost of moving freight into the port."

Not the way Seattle has designed its light rail boondoggle - through Rainier Valley will impact only a very small percentage of traffic that uses I-5 - how do you figure ? Also, can you support with facts that the cost of moving freight to the port will be reduced by light rail - regular trains are unable to use these tracks. Seems like you have sloppily researched this, hey, didn't you write speeches for Sims ?

Granted, this may last 100+ years or it may not - who knows ? Reduce property taxes ? theoretically it could, but it won't as long as King County/Seattle is a socialist enclave, which is not going away any time soon...

Posted by: KS on February 10, 2006 01:30 PM
28. Ben, did you say all that with a straight face? I read your blog. I think you believe it.

Tell me, though, when did the government ever reduce property taxes?

How does constructing rails equate to cheaper transportation over buses? You weren't clear on that.

Just a couple comments, though.

Posted by: swatter on February 10, 2006 02:16 PM
29. KS - reduced congestion on I-5 will make moving freight into the port over I-5 cheaper and more consistent.

Through Rainier Valley isn't as important as to the Airport - not to mention Northgate. Southbound I-5 congestion would likely be reduced, considering that train times between the UW and downtown would likely be shorter than driving, considering parking and congestion. With an extension to Bellevue, commuter trips could also reduce congestion enough to make freight shipments cheaper through that corridor.

swatter - note that "with work by the public". I believe it was recently done in Arlington as a result of heavy TOD investment.

Rails are cheaper than buses over time. A four-car train with one driver costs little more to run than a bus - but carries five times as many people. When you take into account the roadway construction and maintenance required for equivalent capacity and travel time with bus service, and extend for the century that the rail system lasts, you get better service for your dollar. Trains can be run more frequently at closer headways with consistent timing, and as such attract higher ridership and higher density development.

Any individual aspect of either system can be shown to have merit over the other, until all costs and benefits are weighed. There's a good reason that the vast majority of major cities have railway systems - all of these factors combine to make it the most effective transit system possible for major corridors.

Posted by: Ben Schiendelman on February 10, 2006 05:40 PM
30. It sounds good in theory and figurative hand waving about reducing traffic on I-5, but what you didn't say is that it will likely be no more than 2-3% over the next 10 years. Predicting any more traffic reduction beyond 2020 is sheer speculation. Do you happen to have a link that shows the before and after statistics for Minneapolis and Denver ? As Ronald Reagan said; "Trust but verify"

I noticed that Ben never touched the rebuttal about lower property taxes, that both swatter and I took issue with.

Posted by: KS on February 11, 2006 04:32 PM
31. KS - let me be as clear as possible. I have commented on the "lower property taxes" issue, with a re-iteration of my original statement: "WITH WORK BY THE PUBLIC".

Minneapolis and Denver haven't had time to do the TOD work - it will take decades. But I suspect that the wrong questions will be asked in any comparison made today: Comparing the congestion of drivers/bus riders then to now is not valid, you must take into account the people moved by the new system. Look at total hours of delay per capita for all commuters, and you see a reduction that I wouldn't be surprised was substantial in both Denver and Minneapolis already.

Posted by: Ben Schiendelman on February 15, 2006 04:00 PM
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